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. 2022 Oct:172:108602.
doi: 10.1016/j.cie.2022.108602. Epub 2022 Aug 27.

Blockchain solution benefits for controlling pandemics: Bottom-up decentralization, automation with real-time update, and immutability with privacy preservation

Affiliations

Blockchain solution benefits for controlling pandemics: Bottom-up decentralization, automation with real-time update, and immutability with privacy preservation

Xiaoming Li et al. Comput Ind Eng. 2022 Oct.

Abstract

The current COVID-19 pandemic has created turmoil around the world. To fight this ongoing global crisis and future ones, all stakeholders must collaborate and share timely and truthful information. This paper proposes a blockchain solution based on its inherent technological advantages. We posit that benefits can be derived from three unique blockchain features: bottom-up decentralization, automation with real-time update, and immutability with privacy preservation. A decentralized common platform provides easy access and increases participation in disease surveillance, which reduces the estimation errors of the compartmental model parameters. Automation with real-time update facilitates prompt detection and diagnosis, accurate contact tracing, and targeted mitigation and containment, achieving faster recovery and slower transmission. Being immutable while preserving privacy, the blockchain solution enhances respondents' willingness to truthfully report their contact history, avoiding false and erroneous data that will cause wrong estimates on pandemic transmission and recovery. Thus, the blockchain solution mitigates three types of risks: sample variance, delay, and bias. Through simulation, we quantify the value of the blockchain solution in these three aspects. Accordingly, we provide specific action plans based on our research findings: before building blockchain solutions for controlling COVID-19, governments and organizations can calculate the blockchain benefits and decide whether or not they should invest in such blockchain solutions by conducting a cost-benefit analysis.

Keywords: Blockchain; COVID-19 pandemic; Epidemic outbreaks; Risk management.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Difference between centralized applications and DApps.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
A blockchain solution for pandemics.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Davidson County’s daily cases in 2020 and our estimated instantaneous reproduction number.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
The evolution of susceptible, infected, and recovered fractions over time.
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
The 100-round evolutions of susceptible, infected, and recovered fractions in four scenarios.
Fig. 6
Fig. 6
The response surface of the total and maximum infected fraction at different levels of blockchain benefits.
Fig. 6
Fig. 6
The response surface of the total and maximum infected fraction at different levels of blockchain benefits.
Fig. 7
Fig. 7
Evolutions of susceptible, infected, and recovered fractions over time for 50% reporting.
Fig. 7
Fig. 7
Evolutions of susceptible, infected, and recovered fractions over time for 50% reporting.
Fig. 8
Fig. 8
The ending recovered fractions (i.e., the total infected) and their relative deviations in three scenarios.
Fig. 9
Fig. 9
The ending recovered (total infected) fractions at different levels of underreporting and transmission rates.

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