A computational cardiopulmonary physiology simulator accurately predicts individual patient responses to changes in mechanical ventilator settings

Abstract

We present new results validating the capability of a high-fidelity computational simulator to accurately predict the responses of individual patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome to changes in mechanical ventilator settings. 26 pairs of data-points comprising arterial blood gasses collected before and after changes in inspiratory pressure, PEEP, FiO₂, and I:E ratio from six mechanically ventilated patients were used for this study. Parallelized global optimization algorithms running on a high-performance computing cluster were used to match the simulator to each initial data point. Mean absolute percentage errors between the simulator predicted values of PaO₂ and PaCO₂ and the patient data after changing ventilator parameters were 10.3% and 12.6%, respectively. Decreasing the complexity of the simulator by reducing the number of independent alveolar compartments reduced the accuracy of its predictions. Clinical Relevance- These results provide further evidence that our computational simulator can accurately reproduce patient responses to mechanical ventilation, highlighting its usefulness as a clinical research tool.