Affiliations

• ¹ MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0SR, UK. Electronic address: tommy.nyberg@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk.
• ² NIHR Health Protection Research Unit for Modelling and Health Economics, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
• ³ MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0SR, UK.
• ⁴ MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0SR, UK; Statistics, Modelling and Economics Department, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK; Joint Modelling Team, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK; NIHR Health Protection Research Unit for Behavioural Science and Evaluation at the University of Bristol, University of the West of England, and University of Cambridge, Bristol, UK.
• ⁵ COVID-19 National Epidemiology Cell, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK.