Risk Factors of Severity and Mortality Among COVID-19 Patients: A Prospective Observational Study From a Tertiary Care Center

Abstract

Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic has been a major public health threat for the past three years. The RNA virus has been constantly evolving, changing the manifestations and progression of the disease. Some factors which impact the progression to severe COVID-19 or mortality include comorbidities such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and obesity. In this study, we followed a cohort of patients to evaluate the risk factors leading to severe manifestations and mortality from COVID-19. Methodology We conducted a prospective observational study of 589 COVID-19 patients to assess the risk factors associated with the severity and mortality of the disease. Results In our cohort, 83.5% were male, with a median age (p25, p75) of 39.71 (30-48) years. The most common comorbidities included diabetes mellitus (7.8%) and hypertension (7.9%). About 41.7% had an asymptomatic disease, and of the symptomatic, 45% were mild, 6% moderate, and 7% severe. The mortality rate was 4.1%. Risk factors for severity included breathlessness (p=0.02), leukocytosis (p=0.02), and deranged renal function (p=0.04). Risk factors for mortality included older age (p=0.04), anemia (p=0.02), and leukocytosis (p=0.02). Conclusions COVID-19 commonly leads to asymptomatic or mild illness. The major factors we found that were associated with severity include breathlessness at presentation, leukocytosis, and deranged renal functions. The factors associated with mortality include older age, anemia, and leukocytosis.

Keywords: covid-19 india; mortality rate in covid 19; observational study; predictive model; risk factors of covid-19.