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. 2022 Oct;26(4):309-324.
doi: 10.1177/13657127221114508. Epub 2022 Jul 25.

Evidence, probability and relative plausibility

Affiliations

Evidence, probability and relative plausibility

Colin Aitken et al. Int J Evid Proof. 2022 Oct.

Abstract

A comparison is made between probability and relative plausibility as approaches for the interpretation of evidence. It is argued that a probabilistic approach is capable of answering the criticisms of the proponents of relative plausibility. It is also shown that a probabilistic approach can answer the problem of overlapping where there is evidence that each side claims supports its theory of what happened.

Keywords: conjunction; interpretation; likelihood ratio; overlapping problem; relative plausibility.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of conflicting interests: The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

References

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