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. 2022 Sep 29:378:e071533.
doi: 10.1136/bmj-2022-071533.

Current guidance underestimates risk of global environmental change to food security

Samuel Myers  1   2 , Jessica Fanzo  3 , Keith Wiebe  4 , Peter Huybers  2   5 , Matthew Smith  6
Affiliations

Current guidance underestimates risk of global environmental change to food security

Samuel Myers et al. BMJ. .

Abstract

Projections of future food security require careful interpretation because they are often based on models that include only a subset of biophysical variables and have inherent uncertainties, caution Samuel Myers and colleagues

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: We have read and understood BMJ policy on declaration of interests and have no relevant interests to declare.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1
Different models are connected in sequence to simulate future climate, food production, and food security outcomes. The outputs from climate models are inputs into crop models that, in turn, feed into economic models. In addition to the indicated inputs, crop models are also specified according to management, soil characteristics, and cultivar types, and economic models according to socioeconomic conditions
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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