Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Editorial
. 2022 Sep 1;6(9):e2022GH000681.
doi: 10.1029/2022GH000681. eCollection 2022 Sep.

Predictive Intelligence for Cholera in Ukraine?

Moiz Usmani  1 , Kyle D Brumfield  2   3 , Bailey M Magers  1 , Anwar Huq  2   3 , Rosa Barciela  4 , Thanh H Nguyen  5 , Rita R Colwell  2   3 , Antarpreet Jutla  1
Affiliations
Editorial

Predictive Intelligence for Cholera in Ukraine?

Moiz Usmani et al. Geohealth. .

Abstract

Cholera, an ancient waterborne diarrheal disease, remains a threat to public health, especially when climate/weather processes, microbiological parameters, and sociological determinants intersect with population vulnerabilities of loss of access to safe drinking water and sanitation infrastructure. The ongoing war in Ukraine has either damaged or severely crippled civil infrastructure, following which the human population is at risk of health disasters. This editorial highlights a perspective on using predictive intelligence to combat potential (and perhaps impending) cholera outbreaks in various regions of Ukraine. Reliable and judicious use of existing earth observations inspired mathematical algorithms integrating heuristic understanding of microbiological, sociological, and weather parameters have the potential to save or reduce the disease burden.

Keywords: Ukraine; cholera; climate; environmental; infectious disease; vibrios.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflicts of interest relevant to this study.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Cholera Risk on (a) 30 May 2022, and (b) latest prediction produced on 13 June 2022.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Akanda, A. S. , Jutla, A. S. , & Islam, S. (2009). Dual peak cholera transmission in Bengal delta: A hydroclimatological explanation. Geophysical Research Letters, 36(19), L19401. 10.1029/2009GL039312 - DOI
    1. Alam, M. , Hasan, N. A. , Sadique, A. , Bhuiyan, N. A. , Ahmed, K. U. , Nusrin, S. , et al. (2006). Seasonal cholera caused by Vibrio cholerae serogroups O1 and O139 in the coastal aquatic environment of Bangladesh. Applied and Environmental Microbiology, 72(6), 4096–4104. 10.1128/AEM.00066-06 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Appiah–Effah, E. , Duku, G. A. , Dwumfour–Asare, B. , Manu, I. , & Nyarko, K. B. (2020). Toilet chemical additives and their effect on faecal sludge characteristics. Heliyon, 6(9), e04998. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04998 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Barciela, R. , Bilge, T. , Brown, K. , Champian, A. , Sarran, C. , Shields, M. , et al. (2021). Early action for cholera project Yemen case study (p. 100). Met Office Retrieved from https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/...
    1. Brumfield, K. D. , Usmani, M. , Chen, K. M. , Gangwar, M. , Jutla, A. S. , Huq, A. , & Colwell, R. R. (2021). Environmental parameters associated with incidence and transmission of pathogenic Vibrio spp . Environmental Microbiology, 23(12), 1462–2920. 10.1111/1462-2920.15716 - DOI - PubMed

Publication types

LinkOut - more resources