Clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 lineages compared to BA.1 and Delta in South Africa
- PMID: 36195617
- PMCID: PMC9531215
- DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33614-0
Clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 lineages compared to BA.1 and Delta in South Africa
Abstract
Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 drove a fifth wave of COVID-19 cases in South Africa. Here, we use the presence/absence of the S-gene target as a proxy for SARS-CoV-2 variant/lineage for infections diagnosed using the TaqPath PCR assay between 1 October 2021 and 26 April 2022. We link national COVID-19 individual-level data including case, laboratory test and hospitalisation data. We assess severity using multivariable logistic regression comparing the risk of hospitalisation and risk of severe disease, once hospitalised, for Delta, BA.1, BA.2 and BA.4/BA.5 infections. After controlling for factors associated with hospitalisation and severe outcome respectively, BA.4/BA.5-infected individuals had a similar odds of hospitalisation (aOR 1.24, 95% CI 0.98-1.55) and severe outcome (aOR 0.72, 95% CI 0.41-1.26) compared to BA.1-infected individuals. Newly emerged Omicron lineages BA.4/BA.5 showed similar severity to the BA.1 lineage and continued to show reduced clinical severity compared to the Delta variant.
© 2022. The Author(s).
Conflict of interest statement
C.C. has received grant support from South African Medical Research Council, UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office and Wellcome Trust, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Sanofi Pasteur. NW has received grant support from Sanofi Pasteur and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. AvG has received grant support from US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, African Society for Laboratory Medicine (ASLM), South African Medical Research Council, WHO AFRO, The Fleming Fund and Wellcome Trust. SW has received grant support from US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. RW declares personal shareholding in the following companies: Adcock Ingram Holdings Ltd, Dischem Pharmacies Ltd, Discovery Ltd, Netcare Ltd, Aspen Pharmacare Holdings Ltd. All other authors declare no conflict of interest.
References
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- Network for Genomics Surveillance in South Africa (NGS-SA). SARS-CoV-2 Genomic Surveillance Update (3 June 2022). https://www.nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-index/disease-index-covid-19/sars-co... (2022).
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- Department of Health. COVID-19 Online Resources and News portal. Latest Vaccine Statistics https://sacoronavirus.co.za/latest-vaccine-statistics/ (2022).
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- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. Epidemiological update: SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sub-lineages BA.4 and BA.5. https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/epidemiological-update-sars-co... (2022).
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