Bleeding and ischaemic events after first bleed in anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients: risk and timing
- PMID: 36285887
- DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac587
Bleeding and ischaemic events after first bleed in anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients: risk and timing
Abstract
Aims: To determine the risk of subsequent adverse clinical outcomes in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who experienced a new bleeding event.
Methods and results: Anticoagulated AF patients were followed in two prospective cohort studies. Information on incident bleeding was systematically collected during yearly follow-up visits and events were adjudicated as major bleeding or clinically relevant non-major bleeding (CRNMB) according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis guidelines. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), or all-cause death. Time-updated multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models were used to compare outcomes in patients with and without incident bleeding. Median follow-up was 4.08 years [interquartile range (IQR): 2.93-5.98]. Of the 3277 patients included (mean age 72 years, 28.5% women), 646 (19.7%) developed a new bleeding, 297 (9.1%) a major bleeding and 418 (12.8%) a CRNMB. The incidence of the primary outcome was 7.08 and 4.04 per 100 patient-years in patients with and without any bleeding [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.36, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.16-1.61; P < 0.001; median time between a new bleeding and a primary outcome 306 days (IQR: 23-832)]. Recurrent bleeding occurred in 126 patients [incidence, 8.65 per 100 patient-years (95% CI: 7.26-10.30)]. In patients with and without a major bleeding, the incidence of the primary outcome was 11.00 and 4.06 per 100 patient-years [aHR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.69-2.46; P < 0.001; median time to a primary outcome 142 days (IQR: 9-518)], and 59 had recurrent bleeding [11.61 per 100 patient-years (95% CI: 8.99-14.98)]. The incidence of the primary outcome was 5.29 and 4.55 in patients with and without CRNMB [aHR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.76-1.15; P = 0.53; median time to a composite outcome 505 days (IQR: 153-1079)], and 87 had recurrent bleeding [8.43 per 100 patient-years (95% CI: 6.83-10.40)]. Patients who had their oral anticoagulation (OAC) discontinued after their first bleeding episode had a higher incidence of the primary composite than those who continued OAC (63/89 vs. 159/557 patients; aHR: 4.46, 95% CI: 3.16-6.31; P < 0.001).
Conclusion: In anticoagulated AF patients, major bleeding but not CRNMB was associated with a high risk of adverse outcomes, part of which may be explained by OAC discontinuation. Most events occurred late after the bleeding episode, emphasizing the importance of long-term follow-up in these patients.
Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; bleeding; death; oral anticoagulation; outcomes; stroke.
© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
Conflict of interest statement
Conflict of interest: S.B. received funding from the Swiss National Science Foundation, the Mach-Gaensslen Foundation and the Bangerter-Rhyner Foundation outside the submitted work. T.R. reports research grants from the Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation and the sitem insel support fund, all for work outside the submitted study; speaker/consulting honoraria or travel support from Abbott/SJM, Astra Zeneca, Brahms, Bayer, Biosense Webster, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Daiichi Sankyo, Medtronic, Pfizer-BMS and Roche, all for work outside the submitted study; support for his institution’s fellowship programme from Abbott/SJM, Biosense Webster, Biotronik, Boston Scientific and Medtronic for work outside the submitted study. A.M. reports fellowship and training support from Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Medtronic, Abbott/St. Jude Medical, and Biosense Webster; speaker honoraria from Biosense Webster, Medtronic, Abbott/St. Jude Medical, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Biotronik, MicroPort, Novartis, and consultant honoraria for Biosense Webster, Medtronic, Abbott/St. Jude Medcal, and Biotronik. M.S. reports grants via employment institution from Amgen, Bristol Myers & Squibb, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Novartis, Pfizer; personal fees from Amgen, Bristol Myers & Squibb, Sandoz, all outside of the current work. G.M. has received consultant fees for taking part to advisory boards from Novartis, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, Astra Zeneca and Daiichi Sankyo, all outside of the current work. M.K. reports personal fees from Bayer, Böhringer Ingelheim, Pfizer-BMS, Daiichi Sankyo, Medtronic, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Johnson&Johnson; grants from Bayer, Pfizer, Boston Scientific, BMS, Biotronik; grants from the Swiss National Science Foundation (Grant numbers 33CS30_148474, 33CS30_177520, 32473B_176178), the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Foundation for Cardiovascular Research Basel and the University of Basel. D.C. has received consultant fees from Roche Diagnostics; and speaker fees from Servier and BMS/Pfizer, all outside of the current work. The remaining authors have nothing to disclose.
Comment in
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Bleeding and risk for future cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation on oral anticoagulation: major bleeding is a major problem.Eur Heart J. 2022 Dec 14;43(47):4909-4911. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac627. Eur Heart J. 2022. PMID: 36380455 No abstract available.
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