Randomized Controlled Trials on Renin Angiotensin Aldosterone System Inhibitors in Chronic Kidney Disease Stages 3-5: Are They Robust? A Fragility Index Analysis

Abstract

Inhibition of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) is broadly recommended in many nephrological guidelines to prevent chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. This work aimed to analyze the robustness of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the renal and cardiovascular outcomes in CKD stages 3-5 patients treated with RAAS inhibitors (RAASi). We searched for RCTs in MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE databases, and the Cochrane register. Fragility indexes (FIs) for every primary and secondary outcome were calculated according to Walsh et al., who first described this novel metric, suggesting 8 as the cut-off to consider a study robust. Spearman coefficient was calculated to correlate FI to p value and sample size of statistically significant primary and secondary outcomes. Twenty-two studies met the inclusion criteria, including 80,455 patients. Sample size considerably varied among the studies (median: 1693.5, range: 73-17,276). The median follow-up was 38 months (range 24-58). The overall median of both primary and secondary outcomes was 0 (range 0-117 and range 0-55, respectively). The median of FI for primary and secondary outcomes with a p value lower than 0.05 was 6 (range: 1-117) and 7.5 (range: 1-55), respectively. The medians of the FI for primary outcomes with a p value lower than 0.05 in CKD and no CKD patients were 5.5 (range 1-117) and 22 (range 1-80), respectively. Only a few RCTs have been shown to be robust. Our analysis underlined the need for further research with appropriate sample sizes and study design to explore the real potentialities of RAASi in the progression of CKD.

Keywords: chronic kidney disease 1; fragility index; randomized controlled trials; renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors; robustness.

Figure 1

Flow diagram.

Figure 2

Frequency of fragility index values. Panels (A,B) show the absolute frequency of fragility index values for primary and secondary outcomes, respectively.

Figure 3

Scatter plots of fragility index. Fragility index versus p value for primary (a) and secondary (b) outcomes; fragility index versus sample size for primary (c) and secondary (d) outcomes.