Diagnostic accuracy of blood biomarkers and non-invasive scores for the diagnosis of NAFLD and NASH: Systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Introduction and objectives: Fatty liver disease is an important public health problem. Early diagnosis is critical to lower its rate of progression to irreversible/terminal stages. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of non-invasive prediction scores for fatty liver disease (NAFLD and NASH) diagnosis in adults.

Materials and methods: A search was conducted in 10 databases, a qualitative synthesis of 45 studies, and quantitative analysis of the six most common scores. There were 23 risk scores found for NAFLD diagnosis and 32 for NASH diagnosis. The most used were Fatty Liver Index (FLI), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to Platelet Ratio Index, Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4), AST/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, BARD score, and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS).

Results: The results from the meta-analysis for FLI: Area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.73, 0.80), sensitivity 0.67 (CI 95% 0.62, 0.72) and specificity 0.78 (CI 95% 0.74, 0.83). The AST to Platelet Ratio Index: AUC 0.83 (CI 95% 0.80, 0.86), sensitivity 0.45 (95% CI 0.29, 0.62), and specificity of 0.89 (95% CI 0.83, 0.92). The NFS: AUC of 0.82 (CI 95% 0.78, 0.85), sensitivity 0.30 (CI 95% 0.27, 0.33) and specificity 0.96 (CI 95% 0.95,0.96).

Conclusions: The FLI for NAFLD and AST to Platelet Ratio Index for NASH were the risk scores with the highest prognostic value in the included studies. Further research is needed for the application of new diagnostic risk scores for NAFLD and NASH.

Keywords: Fatty liver disease; Meta-analysis; Non-invasive risk scores; Systematic review.