A critical thermal transition driving spring phenology of Northern Hemisphere conifers

Jian-Guo Huang¹, Yaling Zhang^{2

3}, Minhuang Wang⁴, Xiaohan Yu⁵, Annie Deslauriers⁶, Patrick Fonti⁷, Eryuan Liang⁸, Harri Mäkinen⁹, Walter Oberhuber¹⁰, Cyrille B K Rathgeber¹¹, Roberto Tognetti¹², Václav Treml¹³, Bao Yang¹⁴, Lihong Zhai^{2

3}, Jiao-Lin Zhang¹⁵, Serena Antonucci¹², Yves Bergeron¹⁶, Jesus Julio Camarero¹⁷, Filipe Campelo¹⁸, Katarina Čufar¹⁹, Henri E Cuny²⁰, Martin De Luis²¹, Marek Fajstavr²², Alessio Giovannelli²³, Jožica Gričar²⁴, Andreas Gruber¹⁰, Vladimír Gryc²², Aylin Güney^{25

26}, Tuula Jyske⁹, Jakub Kašpar^{13

27}, Gregory King^{7

28}, Cornelia Krause⁶, Audrey Lemay⁶, Feng Liu²⁹, Fabio Lombardi³⁰, Edurne Martinez Del Castillo²¹, Hubert Morin⁶, Cristina Nabais¹⁸, Pekka Nöjd⁹, Richard L Peters^{7

31}, Peter Prislan¹⁹, Antonio Saracino³², Vladimir V Shishov³³, Irene Swidrak¹⁰, Hanuš Vavrčík²², Joana Vieira¹⁸, Qiao Zeng³⁴, Yu Liu³⁵, Sergio Rossi⁶

Affiliations

¹ MOE Key Laboratory of Biosystems Homeostasis and Protection, College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
² Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
³ South China National Botanical Garden, Guangzhou, China.
⁴ Department of Ecology, School of Life Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
⁵ School of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
⁶ Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, Quebec, Canada.
⁷ Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
⁸ State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
⁹ Department of Forests, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Espoo, Finland.
¹⁰ Department of Botany, Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.
¹¹ Université de Lorraine, AgroParisTech, INRAE Silva, Nancy, France.
¹² Dipartimento di Agricoltura, Ambiente e Alimenti, Università degli Studi del Molise, Campobasso, Italy.
¹³ Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
¹⁴ Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
¹⁵ CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, Yunnan, China.
¹⁶ Forest Research Institute, Université du Quebec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, Canada.
¹⁷ Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain.
¹⁸ Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
¹⁹ Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
²⁰ IGN, Direction Interrégionale NordEst, Champigneulles, France.
²¹ Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Environmental Science Institute, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain.
²² Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, Czech Republic.
²³ CNR - Istituto di Ricerca sugli Ecosistemi Terrestri, IRET, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy.
²⁴ Slovenian Forestry Institute, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
²⁵ Institute of Botany, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany.
²⁶ Izmir Katip Çelebi University, Faculty of Forestry, Izmir, Turkey.
²⁷ Department of Forest Ecology, Silva Tarouca Research Institute for Landscape and Ornamental Gardening, Průhonice, Czech Republic.
²⁸ Department of Sciences, University of Alberta, Camrose, Alberta, Canada.
²⁹ Key Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China.
³⁰ AGRARIA Department, Mediterranean University of Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria, Italy.
³¹ Laboratory of Plant Ecology, Department of Plants and Crops, Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
³² Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Portici-Napoli, Italy.
³³ Institute of Economics and Trade, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia.
³⁴ Key Lab of Guangdong for Utilization of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System, Guangdong Open Laboratory of Geospatial Information Technology and Application, Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangzhou, China.
³⁵ The State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China.

PMID: 36451586
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16543

A critical thermal transition driving spring phenology of Northern Hemisphere conifers

Jian-Guo Huang et al. Glob Chang Biol. 2023 Mar.

. 2023 Mar;29(6):1606-1617.

doi: 10.1111/gcb.16543. Epub 2022 Dec 11.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ MOE Key Laboratory of Biosystems Homeostasis and Protection, College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
² Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
³ South China National Botanical Garden, Guangzhou, China.
⁴ Department of Ecology, School of Life Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
⁵ School of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
⁶ Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, Quebec, Canada.
⁷ Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
⁸ State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
⁹ Department of Forests, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Espoo, Finland.
¹⁰ Department of Botany, Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.
¹¹ Université de Lorraine, AgroParisTech, INRAE Silva, Nancy, France.
¹² Dipartimento di Agricoltura, Ambiente e Alimenti, Università degli Studi del Molise, Campobasso, Italy.
¹³ Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
¹⁴ Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
¹⁵ CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, Yunnan, China.
¹⁶ Forest Research Institute, Université du Quebec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, Canada.
¹⁷ Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain.
¹⁸ Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
¹⁹ Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
²⁰ IGN, Direction Interrégionale NordEst, Champigneulles, France.
²¹ Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Environmental Science Institute, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain.
²² Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, Czech Republic.
²³ CNR - Istituto di Ricerca sugli Ecosistemi Terrestri, IRET, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy.
²⁴ Slovenian Forestry Institute, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
²⁵ Institute of Botany, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany.
²⁶ Izmir Katip Çelebi University, Faculty of Forestry, Izmir, Turkey.
²⁷ Department of Forest Ecology, Silva Tarouca Research Institute for Landscape and Ornamental Gardening, Průhonice, Czech Republic.
²⁸ Department of Sciences, University of Alberta, Camrose, Alberta, Canada.
²⁹ Key Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China.
³⁰ AGRARIA Department, Mediterranean University of Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria, Italy.
³¹ Laboratory of Plant Ecology, Department of Plants and Crops, Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
³² Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Portici-Napoli, Italy.
³³ Institute of Economics and Trade, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russia.
³⁴ Key Lab of Guangdong for Utilization of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System, Guangdong Open Laboratory of Geospatial Information Technology and Application, Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangzhou, China.
³⁵ The State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China.

PMID: 36451586
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16543

Abstract

Despite growing interest in predicting plant phenological shifts, advanced spring phenology by global climate change remains debated. Evidence documenting either small or large advancement of spring phenology to rising temperature over the spatio-temporal scales implies a potential existence of a thermal threshold in the responses of forests to global warming. We collected a unique data set of xylem cell-wall-thickening onset dates in 20 coniferous species covering a broad mean annual temperature (MAT) gradient (-3.05 to 22.9°C) across the Northern Hemisphere (latitudes 23°-66° N). Along the MAT gradient, we identified a threshold temperature (using segmented regression) of 4.9 ± 1.1°C, above which the response of xylem phenology to rising temperatures significantly decline. This threshold separates the Northern Hemisphere conifers into cold and warm thermal niches, with MAT and spring forcing being the primary drivers for the onset dates (estimated by linear and Bayesian mixed-effect models), respectively. The identified thermal threshold should be integrated into the Earth-System-Models for a better understanding of spring phenology in response to global warming and an improved prediction of global climate-carbon feedbacks.

Keywords: Northern Hemisphere conifer; cell wall thickening; photoperiod; spring forcing; winter chilling; xylem phenology.

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References

REFERENCES

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A critical thermal transition driving spring phenology of Northern Hemisphere conifers

Affiliations

A critical thermal transition driving spring phenology of Northern Hemisphere conifers

Authors

Affiliations

Abstract

References

REFERENCES

MeSH terms

Grants and funding

LinkOut - more resources

Full Text Sources