Pooled prevalence and associated factors of pregnancy termination among youth aged 15-24 year women in East Africa: Multilevel level analysis

Abstract

Background: Most of unwanted pregnancies among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in Africa result in pregnancy termination. Despite attempts to enhance maternal health care service utilization, unsafe abortion remains the leading cause of maternal death in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), there is still a study gap, notably in East Africa, where community-level issues are not studied. Therefore, this study aimed to assess pooled prevalence pregnancy termination and associated factors among youth (15-24 year-old) women in the East Africa.

Methods: The study was conducted based on the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) in the 12 East African countries. A total weighted sample of 44,846 youth (15-24) age group women was included in this study. To detect the existence of a substantial clustering effect, the Intra-class Correlation Coefficient (ICC), Median Odds Ratio (MOR), and Likelihood Ratio (LR)-test were used. Furthermore, because the models were nested, deviance (-2LLR) was used for model comparison. In the multilevel logistic model, significant factors related to pregnancy termination were declared using Adjusted Odds Ratios (AOR) with a 95%Confidence Interval (CI) and p-value of 0.05.

Result: The pooled prevalence of pregnancy termination in East African countries was 7.79% (95% CI: 7.54, 8.04) with the highest prevalence in Uganda 12.51% (95% CI: 11.56, 13.41) and lowest was observed in Zambia 5.64% ((95% CI: 4.86, 6.41). In multilevel multivariable logistic regression result, age 20-24 [AOR = 1.93; 95% CI: 1.71, 2.16], media exposure [AOR = 1.22; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.34], married [AOR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.21, 1.43], had working [AOR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.23],no education[AOR = 3.98, 95% CI: 2.32, 6.81], primary education [AOR = 4.05, 95% CI: 2.38, 6.88], secondary education [AOR = 2.96, 95% CI: 1.74, 5.03], multiparous [AOR = 0.85; 95%CI: 0.79, 0.93], sexual initiation greater or equal to 15 [AOR = 0.82; 95%CI: 0.74, 0.99] were significantly associated with pregnancy termination.

Conclusion: The pooled prevalence of pregnancy termination in East Africa was high in this study. Maternal age, marital status, education status, parity, age at first sex, media exposure, working status and living countries were significantly associated with pregnancy termination. The finding provides critical information for developing health interventions to decrease unplanned pregnancies and illegal pregnancy termination.

Fig 1. Forest plot of the pregnancy termination in East African countries.