Generalisable long COVID subtypes: findings from the NIH N3C and RECOVER programmes
- PMID: 36563487
- PMCID: PMC9769411
- DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2022.104413
Generalisable long COVID subtypes: findings from the NIH N3C and RECOVER programmes
Abstract
Background: Stratification of patients with post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC, or long COVID) would allow precision clinical management strategies. However, long COVID is incompletely understood and characterised by a wide range of manifestations that are difficult to analyse computationally. Additionally, the generalisability of machine learning classification of COVID-19 clinical outcomes has rarely been tested.
Methods: We present a method for computationally modelling PASC phenotype data based on electronic healthcare records (EHRs) and for assessing pairwise phenotypic similarity between patients using semantic similarity. Our approach defines a nonlinear similarity function that maps from a feature space of phenotypic abnormalities to a matrix of pairwise patient similarity that can be clustered using unsupervised machine learning.
Findings: We found six clusters of PASC patients, each with distinct profiles of phenotypic abnormalities, including clusters with distinct pulmonary, neuropsychiatric, and cardiovascular abnormalities, and a cluster associated with broad, severe manifestations and increased mortality. There was significant association of cluster membership with a range of pre-existing conditions and measures of severity during acute COVID-19. We assigned new patients from other healthcare centres to clusters by maximum semantic similarity to the original patients, and showed that the clusters were generalisable across different hospital systems. The increased mortality rate originally identified in one cluster was consistently observed in patients assigned to that cluster in other hospital systems.
Interpretation: Semantic phenotypic clustering provides a foundation for assigning patients to stratified subgroups for natural history or therapy studies on PASC.
Funding: NIH (TR002306/OT2HL161847-01/OD011883/HG010860), U.S.D.O.E. (DE-AC02-05CH11231), Donald A. Roux Family Fund at Jackson Laboratory, Marsico Family at CU Anschutz.
Keywords: COVID-19; Human Phenotype Ontology; Long COVID; Machine learning; Precision medicine; Semantic similarity.
Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Conflict of interest statement
Declaration of interests T. Bergquist received other support from Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, H. Davis received support from Balvi Foundation and is a cofounder of Patient Led Research Collaborative. The other authors declare that they have no other competing interests.
Update of
-
Generalizable Long COVID Subtypes: Findings from the NIH N3C and RECOVER Programs.medRxiv [Preprint]. 2022 Jul 20:2022.05.24.22275398. doi: 10.1101/2022.05.24.22275398. medRxiv. 2022. Update in: EBioMedicine. 2023 Jan;87:104413. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2022.104413. PMID: 35665012 Free PMC article. Updated. Preprint.
References
MeSH terms
Grants and funding
- U54 GM104938/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002649/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001422/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001427/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM104942/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001439/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002243/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001445/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003096/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002537/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001412/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001872/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001878/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002529/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001863/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002494/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002736/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM115516/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002369/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002541/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM115371/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002001/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002538/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM115458/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001442/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002535/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001866/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003167/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- OT2 HL161847/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001409/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001449/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001453/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002489/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM104940/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003107/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003015/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002733/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001433/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- KL2 TR003016/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001860/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- R24 OD011883/OD/NIH HHS/United States
- U24 HG011449/HG/NHGRI NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001420/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U24 TR002306/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002003/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001876/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001436/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002378/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002384/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002553/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002389/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001414/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM104941/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002014/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002550/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002319/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001855/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001425/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002373/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002240/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002556/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003017/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001998/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001873/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001881/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- RM1 HG010860/HG/NHGRI NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002645/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001450/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002366/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM115428/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002345/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002377/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- U54 GM115677/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR002544/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003098/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR001430/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
- UL1 TR003142/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Medical
Miscellaneous