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Multicenter Study
. 2023 Jan 10;23(1):18.
doi: 10.1186/s12884-022-05310-w.

Mechanical ventilation and death in pregnant patients admitted for COVID-19: a prognostic analysis from the Brazilian COVID-19 registry score

Affiliations
Multicenter Study

Mechanical ventilation and death in pregnant patients admitted for COVID-19: a prognostic analysis from the Brazilian COVID-19 registry score

Zilma Silveira Nogueira Reis et al. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. .

Abstract

Background: The assessment of clinical prognosis of pregnant COVID-19 patients at hospital presentation is challenging, due to physiological adaptations during pregnancy. Our aim was to assess the performance of the ABC2-SPH score to predict in-hospital mortality and mechanical ventilation support in pregnant patients with COVID-19, to assess the frequency of adverse pregnancy outcomes, and characteristics of pregnant women who died.

Methods: This multicenter cohort included consecutive pregnant patients with COVID-19 admitted to the participating hospitals, from April/2020 to March/2022. Primary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and the composite outcome of mechanical ventilation support and in-hospital mortality. Secondary endpoints were pregnancy outcomes. The overall discrimination of the model was presented as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Overall performance was assessed using the Brier score.

Results: From 350 pregnant patients (median age 30 [interquartile range (25.2, 35.0)] years-old]), 11.1% had hypertensive disorders, 19.7% required mechanical ventilation support and 6.0% died. The AUROC for in-hospital mortality and for the composite outcome were 0.809 (95% IC: 0.641-0.944) and 0.704 (95% IC: 0.617-0.792), respectively, with good overall performance (Brier = 0.0384 and 0.1610, respectively). Calibration was good for the prediction of in-hospital mortality, but poor for the composite outcome. Women who died had a median age 4 years-old higher, higher frequency of hypertensive disorders (38.1% vs. 9.4%, p < 0.001) and obesity (28.6% vs. 10.6%, p = 0.025) than those who were discharged alive, and their newborns had lower birth weight (2000 vs. 2813, p = 0.001) and five-minute Apgar score (3.0 vs. 8.0, p < 0.001).

Conclusions: The ABC2-SPH score had good overall performance for in-hospital mortality and the composite outcome mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality. Calibration was good for the prediction of in-hospital mortality, but it was poor for the composite outcome. Therefore, the score may be useful to predict in-hospital mortality in pregnant patients with COVID-19, in addition to clinical judgment. Newborns from women who died had lower birth weight and Apgar score than those who were discharged alive.

Keywords: Artificial respiration; COVID-19; Clinical decision rules; Mortality; Pregnant women; Prognosis.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flowchart of COVID-19 pregnant patients included in the study. *General hospitalized adults (men and women)
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Cities of the hospital of pregnant patients included in this study. *R Core Team (R version 4.0.2). https://www.R-project.org/
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Discrimination of ABC2-SPH Score in the sample of pregnant patients to predict in-hospital mortality (A), and composite of mechanical ventilation support and in-hospital mortality (B)
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Calibration plot of ABC2-SPH Score for in-hospital mortality (A), and composite of mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality (B), for each quartile of pregnant women risk. *It plots the observed and expected death, and the diagonal line represents a perfect agreement between observed and expected probability of the outcome

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