Trans-ethnic Polygenic Risk Scores for Body Mass Index: An International Hundred K+ Cohorts Consortium Study

Abstract

Background: While polygenic risk scores hold significant promise in estimating an individual's risk of developing a complex trait such as obesity, their application in the clinic has, to date, been limited by a lack of data from non-European populations. As a collaboration model of the International Hundred K+ Cohorts Consortium (IHCC), we endeavored to develop a globally applicable trans-ethnic PRS for body mass index (BMI) through this relatively new international effort.

Methods: The PRS model was developed trained and tested at the Center for Applied Genomics (CAG) of The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP) based on a BMI meta-analysis from the GIANT consortium. The validated PRS models were subsequently disseminated to the participating sites. Scores were generated by each site locally on their cohorts and summary statistics returned to CAG for final analysis.

Results: We show that in the absence of a well powered trans-ethnic GWAS from which to derive SNPs and effect estimates, trans-ethnic scores can be generated from European ancestry GWAS using Bayesian approaches such as LDpred to adjust the summary statistics using trans-ethnic linkage disequilibrium reference panels. The ported trans-ethnic scores outperform population specific-PRS across all non-European ancestry populations investigated including East Asians and three-way admixed Brazilian cohort.

Conclusions: Widespread use of PRS in the clinic is hampered by a lack of genotyping data in individuals of non-European ancestry for the vast majority of traits. Here we show that for a truly polygenic trait such as BMI adjusting the summary statistics of a well powered European ancestry study using trans-ethnic LD reference results in a score that is predictive across a range of ancestries including East Asians and three-way admixed Brazilians.