A Projection of Life Expectancy Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 - China, 1990-2030

doi:10.46234/ccdcw2023.008

. 2023 Jan 13;5(2):40-44.

doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.008.

A Projection of Life Expectancy Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 - China, 1990-2030

Jing Yang¹, Ruhai Bai², Lijun Wang¹, Xiaoqi Feng³, Yunning Liu¹, Maigeng Zhou¹

Affiliations

¹ National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Municipality, China.
² School of Public Affairs, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province, China.
³ School of Population Health, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.

PMID: 36776687
PMCID: PMC9902745
DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.008

A Projection of Life Expectancy Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 - China, 1990-2030

Jing Yang et al. China CDC Wkly. 2023.

. 2023 Jan 13;5(2):40-44.

doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.008.

Authors

Jing Yang¹, Ruhai Bai², Lijun Wang¹, Xiaoqi Feng³, Yunning Liu¹, Maigeng Zhou¹

Affiliations

¹ National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing Municipality, China.
² School of Public Affairs, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province, China.
³ School of Population Health, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.

PMID: 36776687
PMCID: PMC9902745
DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.008

No abstract available

Keywords: Healthy China 2030; Life expectancy; Projection.

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Conflict of interest statement

No conflicts of interest.

Figures

**Figure 1**
Contribution of the projected decline in mortality in three age groups toward the gains in life expectancy at birth in China, 2015‒2030.

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References

1. Zhou MG, Li YC, Wang HD, Zeng XY, Wang LJ, Liu SH, et al Analysis on life expectancy and healthy life expectancy in China, 1990-2015. Chin J Epidemiol. 2016;37(11):1439–43. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2016.11.001. - DOI - PubMed
1. Zhou MG, Wang HD, Zeng XY, Yin P, Zhu J, Chen WQ, et al Mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in China and its provinces, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet. 2019;394(10204):1145–58. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30427-1. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
1. Dicker D, Nguyen G, Abate D, Abate KH, Abay SM, Abbafati C, et al Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet. 2018;392(10159):1684–735. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31891-9. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
1. Wang HD, Abbas KM, Abbasifard M, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbastabar H, Abd-Allah F, et al Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. Lancet. 2020;396(10258):1160–203. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30977-6. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
1. Kontis V, Bennett JE, Mathers CD, Li GQ, Foreman K, Ezzati M Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble. Lancet. 2017;389(10076):1323–35. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

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[1] Zhou MG, Li YC, Wang HD, Zeng XY, Wang LJ, Liu SH, et al Analysis on life expectancy and healthy life expectancy in China, 1990-2015. Chin J Epidemiol. 2016;37(11):1439–43. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2016.11.001. - DOI - PubMed

[2] Zhou MG, Li YC, Wang HD, Zeng XY, Wang LJ, Liu SH, et al Analysis on life expectancy and healthy life expectancy in China, 1990-2015. Chin J Epidemiol. 2016;37(11):1439–43. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2016.11.001. - DOI - PubMed

[3] Zhou MG, Wang HD, Zeng XY, Yin P, Zhu J, Chen WQ, et al Mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in China and its provinces, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet. 2019;394(10204):1145–58. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30427-1. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[4] Zhou MG, Wang HD, Zeng XY, Yin P, Zhu J, Chen WQ, et al Mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in China and its provinces, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet. 2019;394(10204):1145–58. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30427-1. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[5] Dicker D, Nguyen G, Abate D, Abate KH, Abay SM, Abbafati C, et al Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet. 2018;392(10159):1684–735. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31891-9. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[6] Dicker D, Nguyen G, Abate D, Abate KH, Abay SM, Abbafati C, et al Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet. 2018;392(10159):1684–735. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31891-9. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[7] Wang HD, Abbas KM, Abbasifard M, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbastabar H, Abd-Allah F, et al Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. Lancet. 2020;396(10258):1160–203. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30977-6. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[8] Wang HD, Abbas KM, Abbasifard M, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbastabar H, Abd-Allah F, et al Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. Lancet. 2020;396(10258):1160–203. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30977-6. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[9] Kontis V, Bennett JE, Mathers CD, Li GQ, Foreman K, Ezzati M Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble. Lancet. 2017;389(10076):1323–35. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

[10] Kontis V, Bennett JE, Mathers CD, Li GQ, Foreman K, Ezzati M Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble. Lancet. 2017;389(10076):1323–35. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

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A Projection of Life Expectancy Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 - China, 1990-2030

Affiliations

A Projection of Life Expectancy Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 - China, 1990-2030

Authors

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Conflict of interest statement

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