Can systemic immune inflammation index at admission predict in-hospital mortality in chronic kidney disease patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection?

Abstract

Background and aim: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection and more prone to develop severe disease. It is important to know predictors of poor outcomes to optimize the strategies of care.

Methods: 93 patients with CKD and 93 age-sex matched patients without CKD were included in the study. Data on demographic, clinical features, hematological indices and outcomes were noted and compared between the groups. Neutrophile to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII) (platelet counts×neutrophil counts/lymphocyte counts) and lymphocyte-to-CRP ratio (LCR) were calculated on admission and the association of these markers with disease mortality in CKD patients was identified.

Results: CKD patients had higher risk of severe disease, and mortality compared to non-CKD patients (72% vs 50.5%, p=0.003, 36.6% vs 10.8%, p<0.001, respectively) and were more likely to have higher values of immuno-inflammatory indices (leukocyte count, neutrophil, NLR, SII and C-reactive protein, etc.) and lower level of lymphocyte and LCR. Also, higher levels of NLR, SII, PLR and lower level of LCR were seen in CKD patients who died compared to those recovered. In a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, NLR, SII, PLR and LCR area under the curve for in-hospital mortality of CKD patients were 0.830, 0.811, 0.664 and 0.712, respectively. Among all parameters, NLR and SII gave us the best ability to distinguish patients with higher risk of death. Based on the cut-off value of 1180.5, the sensitivity and specificity of the SII for predicting in-hospital mortality were found to be 67.5% and 79.6%, respectively. The corresponding sensitivity and specificity of the NLR were 85.2% and 66.1%, respectively, at the cut-off value of 5.1. Forward stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that NLR (≥5.1), SII (≥1180.5) and LCR (≤9) were predictors for in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion: We report for the first time that SII is able to distinguish COVID-19 infected CKD patients of worse survival and it is as powerful as NLR in this regard. As SII is easily quantified from blood sample data, it may assist for early identification and timely management of CKD patients with worse survival.

Keywords: Chronic kidney disease; Enfermedad renal crónica; Infección por SARS-CoV-2; Mortalidad; Mortality; SARS-CoV-2 infection; Systemic immune inflammation index; Índice de inflamación inmunitaria sistémica.

Fig. 1

Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves (ROC) of blood cell count derived inflammation indexes and their respective areas under the curves (AUC) for in hospital mortality. (A) ROC curves of PLR (AUC = 0.664) for in hospital mortality. (B) ROC curves of NLR (AUC = 0.830). (C) ROC curves of SII (AUC = 0.811). (D) ROC curves of LCR (AUC = 0.712).