Impact of Treatment on Long-Term Survival of Patients With Mycobacterium avium Complex Pulmonary Disease

Abstract

Background: Whether antimicrobial treatment improves long-term survival in patients with Mycobacterium avium complex pulmonary disease (MAC-PD) is unclear.

Methods: We analyzed survival in patients aged ≥18 years who were treated for MAC-PD at a tertiary referral center in South Korea between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2020. Treatment exposure was divided into 4 time intervals: <6, ≥6 to <12, ≥12 to <18, and ≥18 months. Time-varying multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate the all-cause mortality risk in each time interval. The model was adjusted for major clinical factors related to mortality including age, sex, body mass index, presence of cavities, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, positive acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear, clarithromycin resistance, and comorbid conditions.

Results: A total of 486 patients treated for MAC-PD were included in the analysis. A significant inverse correlation was observed between mortality and duration of treatment (P for trend = .007). Long-term treatment (≥18 months) was significantly associated with reduced mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.32 [95% confidence interval, .15-.71]). In subgroup analyses, patients with cavitary lesions (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.17 [95% confidence interval, .05-.57]) or positive AFB smears (0.13 [.02-.84]) at baseline maintained this significant inverse relationship between treatment duration and mortality.

Conclusions: Long-term antimicrobial treatment should be actively considered in patients with progressive MAC-PD, especially in the presence of cavities or positive AFB smears indicative of high mycobacterial burden.

Keywords: Cox proportional hazards regression models; mortality; nontuberculous mycobacteria; time-varying.