Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2023 May;10(5):e308-e319.
doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(23)00008-5. Epub 2023 Feb 28.

HIV incidence and mortality in transgender women in the eastern and southern USA: a multisite cohort study

Affiliations

HIV incidence and mortality in transgender women in the eastern and southern USA: a multisite cohort study

Andrea L Wirtz et al. Lancet HIV. 2023 May.

Abstract

Background: Epidemiological monitoring of HIV among transgender women is minimal despite prioritisation of this group in the US National HIV/AIDS Strategy (2022-2025). We aimed to estimate HIV incidence in a multisite cohort of transgender women in the eastern and southern USA. Participant deaths were identified during follow-up; thus, we felt it was an ethical imperative to report mortality alongside HIV incidence.

Methods: In this study, we established a multisite cohort across two modes: a site-based, technology-enhanced mode in six cities (Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Miami, New York City, and Washington, DC) and an exclusively digital mode that spanned 72 eastern and southern US cities that matched the six site-based cities based on population size and demographics. Trans feminine adults (≥18 years) who were not living with HIV were eligible and followed up for at least 24 months. Participants completed surveys and oral fluid HIV testing with clinical confirmation. We ascertained deaths through community and clinical sources. We estimated HIV incidence and mortality using the number of HIV seroconversions and deaths, respectively, divided by person-years accumulated from enrolment. Logistic regression models were used to identify predictors of HIV seroconversion (primary outcome) or death.

Findings: Between March 22, 2018, and Aug 31, 2020, we enrolled 1312 participants with 734 (56%) in site-based and 578 (44%) in digital modes. At the 24-month assessment, 633 (59%) of 1076 eligible participants consented to extending participation. 1084 (83%) of 1312 participants were retained at this analysis based on the study definition of loss to follow-up. As of May 25, 2022, the cohort participants had contributed 2730 accumulated person-years to the analytical dataset. Overall HIV incidence was 5·5 (95% CI 2·7-8·3) per 1000 person-years and incidence was higher among Black participants and those living in the south. Nine participants died during the study. The overall mortality rate was 3·3 (95% CI 1·5-6·3) per 1000 person-years, and the rate was higher among Latinx participants. Identical predictors of HIV seroconversion and death included residence in southern cities, sexual partnerships with cisgender men, and use of stimulants. Participation in the digital cohort and seeking care for gender transition were inversely associated with both outcomes.

Interpretation: As HIV research and interventions are increasingly delivered online, differences by mode highlight the need for continued community and location-based efforts to reach the most marginalised transgender women. Our findings underscore community calls for interventions that address social and structural contexts that affect survival and other health concerns alongside HIV prevention.

Funding: National Institutes of Health.

Translation: For the Spanish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of interests KNA is a consultant for the All of Us Research Program. TCP is a consultant for ViiV Healthcare and received an honorarium for a lecture provided to Merck & Co staff. All other authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Figure 1:
Figure 1:
Geographic distribution of cohort participants by Zip Code of residence reported at enrollment
Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Cumulative incidence of a) HIV seroconversion and b) death among cohort participants, overall and by race and ethnicity Note: 95% confidence intervals represented by shaded areas

Comment in

References

    1. James S, Herman JL, Ranklin S, Keisling M, Mottet LA, Anafi M. The Report of the 2015 U.S. Transgender Survey. Washington, DC: National Center for Transgender Equality,, 2016.
    1. Wilson EC, Hernandez CJ, Arayasirikul S, et al. In Their Own Words: How Trans Women Acquired HIV Infection. AIDS and Behavior 2022; 26(6): 2091–8. - PubMed
    1. Becasen JS, Denard CL, Mullins MM, Higa DH, Sipe TA. Estimating the Prevalence of HIV and Sexual Behaviors Among the US Transgender Population: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, 2006–2017. American Journal of Public Health 2019; 109(1): e1–e8. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. HIV Infection, Risk, Prevention, and Testing Behaviors Among Transgender Women—National HIV Behavioral Surveillance, 7 U.S. Cities, 2019–2020. Atlanta, 2021.
    1. Sevelius JM, Patouhas E, Keatley JG, Johnson MO. Barriers and Facilitators to Engagement and Retention in Care among Transgender Women Living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus. Ann Behav Med 2013. - PMC - PubMed

Publication types