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Published Erratum
. 2023 Mar 21;120(12):e2302169120.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.2302169120. Epub 2023 Mar 14.

Correction for Marani et al., Intensity and frequency of extreme novel epidemics

No authors listed
Published Erratum

Correction for Marani et al., Intensity and frequency of extreme novel epidemics

No authors listed. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. .
No abstract available

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Figures

Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
(A) Yearly probability of exceedance, H1 (i = 5.7‰/year), of an epidemic with the same intensity as the Spanish influenza or greater at different times in history (red). The gray area represents the 95% CI computed from 10,000 realizations obtained by randomly perturbing each historical observation with a perturbation in the range [−50%, +50%] (gray area in Fig. 1). Note that fitting a standard, stationary GEV distribution yields a constant and misleadingly low probability of occurrence. (B) Probability of exceedance of maximum yearly epidemic intensity computed on the basis of the number of epidemic occurrences in the most recent 2000 to 2019 period. Gray area represents the 95% CI as in A.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Erratum for

  • Intensity and frequency of extreme novel epidemics.
    Marani M, Katul GG, Pan WK, Parolari AJ. Marani M, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Aug 31;118(35):e2105482118. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2105482118. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021. PMID: 34426498 Free PMC article.

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