Effects of Gender and Baseline CD4 Count on Post-Treatment CD4 Count Recovery and Outcomes in Patients with Advanced HIV Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Presentation to care with advanced HIV disease (AHD) is a significant problem in sub-Saharan Africa. We evaluated factors associated with immune recovery among individuals presenting to care with AHD in Zimbabwe. We conducted a retrospective evaluation of outcomes among adult (>18 years old) individuals with AHD (CD4 count ≤200 cells/mm³) receiving care at 18 outpatient primary care clinics in Harare, Zimbabwe. Baseline and 12-month CD4 count data were extracted from medical records. CD4 count recovery (defined as CD4 count >200 cells/mm³) after 12 months on non-nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen was determined and factors associated with CD4 count recovery were established using logistic regression. All statistical analysis was performed on SPSS v23. A total of 1,338 participant records were included in the analysis. The median interquartile range (IQR) age was 37 (30-43) years and 52% were females. The baseline median (IQR) CD4 count was 50 (28-75) cells/mm³ and was significantly lower among patients with history of cryptococcal meningitis compared to those without [25 (10-52) vs. 52 (32-77), respectively; p = .0009]. The median (IQR) CD4 count at 12 months after ART initiation increased from 50 (28-75) at baseline to 180 (92-290) cells/mm³. Immune recovery with a CD4 count >200 cells/mm³ was observed in 181/417 (43%). Male gender and low baseline CD4 count were strong predictors of poor immunological recovery on ART. Immunological recovery following ART initiation was 43% among individuals with AHD. Male patients are most vulnerable to persistent immunological failure. Clinical Trial Registration number: NCT02434172.

Keywords: CD4 count; Zimbabwe; advanced HIV disease; immune recovery; male.