A new risk score for the assessment of outcomes for Chinese patients with peripartum cardiomyopathy

Abstract

Background: Peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM) is a potentially life-threatening complication of pregnancy, but identifying patients at higher risk of this condition remains difficult.

Objectives: We conducted a study to identify new risk factors associated with PPCM and predictors of poor outcomes.

Methods: This retrospective analysis included a total of 44 women with PPCM. As a control group, 79 women who gave birth around the same time as the PPCM patients and who did not have organic disease were included. A multivariate regression analysis was conducted to identify risk factors associated with PPCM and with delayed recovery.

Results: All PPCM patients were discharged within 28 days. In comparison to the control group, PPCM patients had higher rates of preeclampsia (20.4% vs. 1.27%, P<0.001), autoimmune disease (27.3% vs. 11.4%, P = 0.018), and cesarean delivery with preterm labor (31.8% vs. 17.7%, P = 0.037). The neonates of PPCM patients had lower birth weight (2.70±0.66 kg vs. 3.21±0.57 kg, P<0.001). PPCM patients had higher levels of C-reactive protein, d-dimer, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and serum phosphorus, but lower levels of albumin and serum calcium (all P<0.001). In all patients with PPCM, the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) returned to normal (≥50%) within 28 days after admission. Subjects with early recovery (n = 34) had lower BNP than those with delayed recovery (n = 10) (649.7 ± 526.0 pg/mL vs. 1444.1 ± 1040.8 pg/mL, P = 0.002). Multivariate regression led to a three-point score system to predict PPCM (1 point each for the presence of pericardial effusion, left ventricular dilatation, and d-dimer level ≥0.5 μg/mL). At a cutoff of ≥2, this scoring system predicted delayed recovery with 95.5% sensitivity and 96.1% specificity. The negative predictive value was 97.4% and the positive predictive value was 93.3%. Binary logistic regression indicated that PPCM patients with pulmonary hypertension, lower hemoglobin, or worse LVEF tended to require longer hospital stay (minimum 14 days).

Conclusions: A risk score that consists of pericardial effusion, left ventricular dilatation, and d-dimer level ≥ 0.5 μg/mL could help streamline the diagnosis of PPCM prior to confirmatory investigations. Moreover, a risk score that consists of pulmonary hypertension, lower hemoglobin and worse LVEF could help to predict poor outcomes in PPCM patients.

Keywords: Outcomes; Peripartum cardiomyopathy; Pregnancy; Prognostic factors; Risk score.