Pre-Omicron seroprevalence, seroconversion, and seroreversion of infection-induced SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among a cohort of children and teenagers in Montréal, Canada

Abstract

Objectives: To use serological testing to assess the pre-Omicron seroprevalence, seroconversion, and seroreversion of infection-induced SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in children and adolescents in Montréal, Canada.

Design: This analysis is from a prospective cohort study of children aged 2-17 years (at baseline) that included blood spots for antibody detection. The serostatus of participants was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays using the receptor-binding domain from the spike protein and the nucleocapsid protein as antigens. We estimated seroprevalence, seroconversion rates, and the likelihood of seroreversion at 6 months and 1 year.

Results: The baseline (October 2020 to April 2021) seroprevalence was 5.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.8-7.1), which increased to 10.5% (May to September 2021) and 11.0% (November 2021 to March 2022) for the respective follow-ups (95% CI 8.6-12.7; 95% CI 8.8-13.5). The crude rate of seroconversion over the study period was 12.8 per 100 person-years (95% CI 11.0-14.7). The adjusted hazard rates of seroconversion by child characteristics showed higher rates in children who were female, whose parent identified as a racial or ethnic minority, and in households with incomes in the lowest tercile of our study population. The likelihood of remaining seropositive at 6 months was 68% (95% CI 60-77%) and dropped to 42% (95% CI 32-56%) at 1 year.

Conclusion: Serological studies continue to provide valuable contributions for infection prevalence estimates and help us better understand the dynamics of antibody levels after infection.

Keywords: Cohort; Pediatric; SARS-CoV-2; Seroconversion; Serology; Seroreversion.

Figure 1

Kaplan-Meier curve of time to seroreversion in the sample of unvaccinated children and vaccinated children censored at vaccination. In the upper figure, the darker gray line represents the estimated likelihood of remaining seropositive to at least that time point, with the light gray representing the 95% confidence intervals. The lower figure represents the number of seropositive children that remain at risk of seroreversion at five points in time.