Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Review
. 2023 May 15;381(2247):20220144.
doi: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0144. Epub 2023 Mar 27.

The Bayesian lens and Bayesian blinkers

Affiliations
Review

The Bayesian lens and Bayesian blinkers

Matthew Stephens. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. .

Abstract

I discuss the benefits of looking through the 'Bayesian lens' (seeking a Bayesian interpretation of ostensibly non-Bayesian methods), and the dangers of wearing 'Bayesian blinkers' (eschewing non-Bayesian methods as a matter of philosophical principle). I hope that the ideas may be useful to scientists trying to understand widely used statistical methods (including confidence intervals and [Formula: see text]-values), as well as teachers of statistics and practitioners who wish to avoid the mistake of overemphasizing philosophy at the expense of practical matters. This article is part of the theme issue 'Bayesian inference: challenges, perspectives, and prospects'.

Keywords: Bayesian; confidence interval; frequentist; maximum likelihood; p-value.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

I declare I have no competing interests.

References

    1. Bernardo JM, Smith AF. 2009. Bayesian theory, vol. 405. Chichester, UK: John Wiley & Sons.
    1. Gelfand AE, Smith AF. 1990. Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 85, 398-409. (10.1080/01621459.1990.10476213) - DOI
    1. Pratt JW. 1965. Bayesian interpretation of standard inference statements. J. R. Stat. Soc. B (Methodological) 27, 169-203. (10.1111/j.2517-6161.1965.tb01486.x) - DOI
    1. Smith AF, Spiegelhalter DJ. 1980. Bayes factors and choice criteria for linear models. J. R. Stat. Soc. B (Methodological) 42, 213-220. (10.1111/j.2517-6161.1980.tb01122.x) - DOI
    1. Savage LJ. 1959. Subjective probability and statistical practice. Mathematical Sciences Directorate, Office of Scientific Research, US Air Force.

LinkOut - more resources