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. 2023 May;68(5):582-591.
doi: 10.4187/respcare.10507. Epub 2023 Mar 28.

Impact of Arterial CO2 Retention in Patients With Moderate or Severe ARDS

Affiliations

Impact of Arterial CO2 Retention in Patients With Moderate or Severe ARDS

Adel Maamar et al. Respir Care. 2023 May.

Abstract

Background: Lung-protective ventilation (reduced tidal volume and limited plateau pressure) may lead to CO2 retention. Data about the impact of hypercapnia in patients with ARDS are scarce and conflicting.

Methods: We performed a non-interventional cohort study with subjects with ARDS admitted from 2006 to 2021 and with PaO2 /FIO2 ≤ 150 mm Hg. We examined the association between severe hypercapnia (PaCO2 ≥ 50 mm Hg) on the first 5 days after the diagnosis of ARDS and death in ICU for 930 subjects. All the subjects received lung-protective ventilation.

Results: Severe hypercapnia was noted in 552 subjects (59%) on the first day of ARDS (day 1); 323/930 (34.7%) died in the ICU. Severe hypercapnia on day 1 was associated with mortality in the unadjusted (odds ratio 1.54, 95% CI 1.16-1.63; P = .003) and adjusted (odds ratio 1.47, 95% CI 1.08-2.43; P = .004) models. In the Bayesian analysis, the posterior probability that severe hypercapnia was associated with ICU death was > 90% in 4 different priors, including a septic prior for this association. Sustained severe hypercapnia on day 5, defined as severe hypercapnia present from day 1 to day 5, was noted in 93 subjects (12%). After propensity score matching, severe hypercapnia on day 5 remained associated with ICU mortality (odds ratio 1.73, 95% CI 1.02-2.97; P = .047).

Conclusions: Severe hypercapnia was associated with mortality in subjects with ARDS who received lung-protective ventilation. Our results deserve further evaluation of the strategies and treatments that aim to control CO2 retention.

Keywords: ARDS; cohort study; hypercapnia; mortality.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.
Diagram flowchart of patients.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
A: Density probability function of PaCO2 stratified by plateau pressure. B: PaCO2 locally estimated scatterplot smoothing curves of the relationship between ICU mortality and PaCO2 on day 1 of ARDS.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 3.
Subjects compared for ICU mortality rates based on whether sustained severe hypercapnia was noted on each of the first 5 days after ARDS diagnosis.

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