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Published Erratum
. 2023 Apr 11;120(15):e2304076120.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.2304076120. Epub 2023 Apr 4.

Correction for Cramer et al., Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

No authors listed
Published Erratum

Correction for Cramer et al., Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

No authors listed. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. .
No abstract available

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Figures

Fig. 4.
Fig. 4.
Forecasts for selected states and pandemic waves, with PIs coverage. The first column shows every 1- and 4-wk-ahead forecast with 95% PIs made by the ensemble during the selected evaluation period. The second and third columns of plots show evaluations of PIs across 1- through 4-wk horizons (x-axis). The red line with triangle points corresponds to the coverage rates of the COVIDhub-ensemble forecasts, and green squares refer to the COVIDhub-baseline model. The boxplots represent the distribution of coverage rates from all component models. The second column evaluates only forecasts made for the dates shown in the first column. The third column evaluates forecasts across all weeks in the evaluation period. In the last two columns, the expected coverage rate (95%) is shown by the dashed line.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Erratum for

  • Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
    Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, House KH, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Shah A, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Gu Y, Jain S, Bannur N, Deva A, Kulkarni M, Merugu S, Raval A, Shingi S, Tiwari A, White J, Abernethy NF, Woody S, Dahan M, Fox S, Gaither K, Lachmann M, Meyers LA, Scott JG, Tec M, Srivastava A, George GE, Cegan JC, Dettwiller ID, England WP, Farthing MW, Hunter RH, Lafferty B, Linkov I, Mayo ML, Parno MD, Rowland MA, Trump BD, Zhang-James Y, Chen S, Faraone SV, Hess J, Morley CP, Salekin A, Wang D, Corsetti SM, Baer TM, Eisenberg MC, Falb K, Huang Y, Martin ET, McCauley E, Myers RL, Schwarz T, Sheldon D, Gibson GC, Yu R, Gao L, Ma Y, Wu D, Yan X, Jin X, Wang YX, Chen Y, Guo L, Zhao Y, Gu Q, Chen J, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Biegel H, Lega J, McConnell S, Nagraj VP, Guertin SL, Hulme-Lowe C, Turner SD, Shi Y, Ban X, Walraven R, Hong QJ, Kong S, van de Walle A, Turtle JA, Ben-Nun M, Riley S, Riley P, Koyluoglu U, DesRoches D, Forli P, Hamory B, Kyriakides C, Leis H, Milliken J, Moloney M, Morgan J, Nirgudkar N, Ozcan G, Piwonka N, Ravi M, Schrader C… See abstract for full author list ➔ Cramer EY, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Apr 12;119(15):e2113561119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119. Epub 2022 Apr 8. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022. PMID: 35394862 Free PMC article.

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