Prognostic significance of serial N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels in patients with acute myocardial infarction: A prospective study

Abstract

Objects: This study aimed to investigate the association between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels at different sampling times and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) undergoing emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods and results: Between March 2017 and January 2020, 1,105 patients with AMI who underwent emergency PCI were included. NT-proBNP levels were measured on days 0, 1, 2, 3, and 7. A composite of all-cause death, MI recurrence (reMI), and rehospitalization due to heart failure, known as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), was recorded. During the 36.8-month follow-up, 175 patients (15.8%) experienced MACEs. When patients were grouped based on quartiles of NT-proBNP levels on days 0 and 7, the results demonstrated that patients in quartile 4 showed a substantially increased MACE risk compared to those in quartile 1 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.27, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.27-4.08, P = .006; HR 2.20, 95%CI:1.23-3.94, P = .008). There were U-shaped relationships between the HR for MACE and NT-proBNP levels on days 2, 3, and 7, as well as peak NT-proBNP (P _{for nonlinearity} = .007, .006, .004, and .009, respectively). A similar relationship was observed in the HR for reMI and NT-proBNP levels on days 2 and 3. For MACE at 3 years, serial NT-proBNP levels improved the predictive accuracy of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score (concordance index [C-index]: 0.711; continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI]: 0.192, 95% CI: 0.022-0.445; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]: 0.034, 95% CI: 0.016-0.064). For all-cause death at 3 years, the combination of NT-proBNP and GRACE score showed excellent performance, with C-index, continuous NRI, and IDI values of 0.801, 0.373 (95%CI: 0.072-0.853), and 0.051 (95%CI: 0.025-0.091), respectively.

Conclusions: Early and sequential measurement of NT-proBNP levels could assist in predicting MACE risk. Moreover, the relationship between MACE risk and NT-proBNP levels was U-shaped.

Clinical trial registration: clinicaltrials.gov NCT: 03593928.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03593928.