Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia

Harvey Whiteford^{1

2}, Nasser Bagheri³, Sandra Diminic^{1

2}, Joanne Enticott⁴, Caroline X Gao^{5

6

7}, Matthew Hamilton^{5

6

7}, Ian B Hickie⁸, Long Khanh-Dao Le⁹, Yong Yi Lee⁹, Katrina M Long¹⁰, Patrick McGorry^{5

6}, Graham Meadows¹¹, Cathrine Mihalopoulos⁹, Jo-An Occhipinti¹², Daniel Rock^{13

14

15}, Sebastian Rosenberg¹⁶, Luis Salvador-Carulla¹⁷, Adam Skinner¹⁶

Affiliations

¹ Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Wacol, QLD, Australia.
² School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, Australia.
³ Mental Health Policy Unit, Health Research Institute, University of Canberra.
⁴ Southern Synergy, Monash Centre of Health Research & Implementation, Monash University, Dandenong, VIC, Australia.
⁵ Centre for Youth Mental Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
⁶ Orygen, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
⁷ School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University.
⁸ Brain and Mind Centre, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
⁹ Health Economics Group, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
¹⁰ Department of Occupational Therapy, School of Primary and Allied Health Care, Monash University, Frankston, VIC, Australia.
¹¹ Southern Synergy, Department of Psychiatry, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Dandenong, VIC, Australia.
¹² Systems Modelling, Simulation & Data Science, Brain and Mind Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney.
¹³ WA Primary Health Alliance, Perth, Australia.
¹⁴ Discipline of Psychiatry, Medical School University of Western Australia.
¹⁵ Faculty of Health, University of Canberra.
¹⁶ Brain and Mind Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
¹⁷ Health Research Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

PMID: 37183347
DOI: 10.1177/00048674231172113

Review

Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia

Harvey Whiteford et al. Aust N Z J Psychiatry. 2023 Nov.

. 2023 Nov;57(11):1417-1427.

doi: 10.1177/00048674231172113. Epub 2023 May 14.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Wacol, QLD, Australia.
² School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, Australia.
³ Mental Health Policy Unit, Health Research Institute, University of Canberra.
⁴ Southern Synergy, Monash Centre of Health Research & Implementation, Monash University, Dandenong, VIC, Australia.
⁵ Centre for Youth Mental Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
⁶ Orygen, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
⁷ School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University.
⁸ Brain and Mind Centre, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
⁹ Health Economics Group, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
¹⁰ Department of Occupational Therapy, School of Primary and Allied Health Care, Monash University, Frankston, VIC, Australia.
¹¹ Southern Synergy, Department of Psychiatry, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Dandenong, VIC, Australia.
¹² Systems Modelling, Simulation & Data Science, Brain and Mind Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney.
¹³ WA Primary Health Alliance, Perth, Australia.
¹⁴ Discipline of Psychiatry, Medical School University of Western Australia.
¹⁵ Faculty of Health, University of Canberra.
¹⁶ Brain and Mind Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
¹⁷ Health Research Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

PMID: 37183347
DOI: 10.1177/00048674231172113

Abstract

Australia's Fifth National Mental Health Plan required governments to report, not only on the progress of changes to mental health service delivery, but to also plan for services that should be provided. Future population demand for treatment and care is challenging to predict and one solution involves modelling the uncertain demands on the system. Modelling can help decision-makers understand likely future changes in mental health service demand and more intelligently choose appropriate responses. It can also support greater scrutiny, accountability and transparency of these processes. Australia has an emerging national capacity for systems modelling in mental health which can enhance the next phase of mental health reform. This paper introduces concepts useful for understanding mental health modelling and identifies where modelling approaches can support health service planners to make evidence-informed decisions regarding planning and investment for the Australian population.

Keywords: mental health planning; modelling; service delivery.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of Conflicting InterestsThe authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

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Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia

Affiliations

Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia

Authors

Affiliations

Abstract

Conflict of interest statement

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MeSH terms

LinkOut - more resources

Full Text Sources

Medical