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. 2023 Jan-Mar;13(1):5-9.
doi: 10.4103/ijabmr.ijabmr_286_22. Epub 2023 Mar 27.

Red Cell Distribution Width and Ratio of Red Cell Distribution Width-to-Total Serum Calcium as Predictors of Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis

Varun Gupta  1 , Savjot Singh Narang  1 , Chiranjiv Singh Gill  1 , Pavneet Kaur Selhi  2 , Manvi Gupta  2
Affiliations

Red Cell Distribution Width and Ratio of Red Cell Distribution Width-to-Total Serum Calcium as Predictors of Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis

Varun Gupta et al. Int J Appl Basic Med Res. 2023 Jan-Mar.

Abstract

Background: Current severity assessment scores of acute pancreatitis (AP) include multiple variables, the results of which are available only after 48 h of admission. Red cell distribution width (RDW) and total serum calcium (TSC) are simple routine parameters related to inflammatory status and results of which are readily available.

Aim: The aim of this study was to evaluate RDW and RDW: TSC within 24 h of hospital admission as predictors of outcome (severity and mortality) and intervention (medical/percutaneous drainage/surgical) required by patients of AP.

Materials and methods: All the patients diagnosed with AP at a tertiary care hospital were enrolled for the study. Values of RDW and TSC along with data regarding the treatment given were collected. Diagnosis and severity were defined according to the revised Atlanta classification 2012.

Results and interpretation: Cutoff value for RDW (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.997; P = 0.000) to predict the severity of AP was 16.25% (sensitivity - 100% and specificity - 97.1%,) (sensitivity - 100% and specificity - 97.1%, positive predictive value - 92.31%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 0.971), while that of RDW:TSC (AUROC: 1; P = 0.000) was 2.42 (sensitivity - 100%; specificity - 100%, positive predictive value - 100%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 1.00). Similarly, the cutoff value for RDW (AUROC: 0.947; P = 0.000) to predict mortality in AP was 17.20% (sensitivity - 100%; specificity - 87.4%, positive predictive value - 38.89%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 0.874) and that of RDW-to-TSC ratio (AUROC: 0.975; P = 0.000) was 2.9 (sensitivity - 100%; specificity - 96.6%, positive predictive value - 70%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 0.966).

Conclusion: Our study found that RDW and RDW: TSC were quick, convenient, economic, sensitive, and dependable prognostic predictors of severity and mortality in patients with AP.

Keywords: Acute pancreatitis; mortality; red cell distribution width; severity; total serum calcium.

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Conflict of interest statement

There are no conflicts of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
AUROC of RDW and TSC for acute pancreatitis severity. AUROC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; RDW: Red cell distribution width; TSC: Total serum calcium
Figure 2
Figure 2
AUROC of RDW and TSC for acute pancreatitis mortality. AUROC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; RDW: Red cell distribution width; TSC: Total serum calcium
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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