The prognostic value of myocardial salvage index by cardiac magnetic resonance in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Objective: To assess the prognostic value of myocardial salvage index (MSI) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients.

Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Central, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang Data to identify primary studies reporting MSI in STEMI patients with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) comprised of death, myocardial reinfarction, and congestive heart failure. The MSI and MACE rates were pooled. The bias of risk was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool. The evidence level was rated based on the meta-analysis of hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of MSI for predicting MACE.

Results: Eighteen studies were included covering twelve unique cohorts. Eleven cohorts measured MSI using T2-weighted imaging and T1-weighted late gadolinium enhancement, while one cohort applied T2-mapping and T1-mapping. The pooled MSI (95% CI) was 44% (39 to 49%; 11 studies, 2946 patients), and the pooled MACE rate (95% CI) was 10% (7 to 14%; 12 studies, 311/3011 events/patients). Seven prognostic studies overall showed low risk of bias. The HR (95% CI) per 1% increase of MSI for MACE was 0.95 (0.92 to 0.98; 5 studies, 150/885 events/patients), and HR (95% CI) of MSI < median versus MSI > median for MACE was 5.62 (3.74 to 8.43; 6 studies, 166/1570 events/patients), both rated as weak evidence.

Conclusions: MSI presents potential in predicting MACE in STEMI patients. The prognostic value of MSI using advanced CMR techniques for adverse cardiovascular events needs further investigation.

Clinical relevance statement: Seven studies supported the MSI to serve as a predictor for MACE in STEMI patients, indicating its potential as a risk stratification tool to help manage expectations for these patients in clinical practice.

Key points: • The pooled infarct size (95% CI) and area at risk (95% CI) were 21% (18 to 23%; 11 studies, 2783 patients) and 38% (34 to 43%; 10 studies, 2022 patients), respectively. • The pooled rates (95% CI) of cardiac mortality, myocardial reinfarction, and congestive heart failure were 2% (1 to 3%; 11 studies, 86/2907 events/patients), 4% (3 to 6%; 12 studies, 127/3011 events/patients), and 3% (1 to 5%; 12 studies, 94/3011 events/patients), respectively. • The HRs (95% CI) per 1% increase of MSI for cardiac mortality and congestive heart failure were 0.93 (0.91 to 0.96; 1 study, 14/202 events/patients) and 0.96 (0.93 to 0.99; 1 study, 11/104 events/patients), respectively, but the prognostic value of MSI for myocardial re-infraction has not been measured.

Keywords: Magnetic resonance imaging; Meta-analysis; Myocardial infarction; Prognosis; Systematic review.