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. 2023 Aug;9(8 Pt 2):1437-1451.
doi: 10.1016/j.jacep.2023.05.025. Epub 2023 Jul 19.

A Novel ECG-Based Deep Learning Algorithm to Predict Cardiomyopathy in Patients With Premature Ventricular Complexes

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Free article

A Novel ECG-Based Deep Learning Algorithm to Predict Cardiomyopathy in Patients With Premature Ventricular Complexes

Joshua Lampert et al. JACC Clin Electrophysiol. 2023 Aug.
Free article

Abstract

Background: Premature ventricular complexes (PVCs) are prevalent and, although often benign, they may lead to PVC-induced cardiomyopathy. We created a deep-learning algorithm to predict left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) reduction in patients with PVCs from a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG).

Objectives: This study aims to assess a deep-learning model to predict cardiomyopathy among patients with PVCs.

Methods: We used electronic medical records from 5 hospitals and identified ECGs from adults with documented PVCs. Internal training and testing were performed at one hospital. External validation was performed with the others. The primary outcome was first diagnosis of LVEF ≤40% within 6 months. The dataset included 383,514 ECGs, of which 14,241 remained for analysis. We analyzed area under the receiver operating curves and explainability plots for representative patients, algorithm prediction, PVC burden, and demographics in a multivariable Cox model to assess independent predictors for cardiomyopathy.

Results: Among the 14,241-patient cohort (age 67.6 ± 14.8 years; female 43.8%; White 29.5%, Black 8.6%, Hispanic 6.5%, Asian 2.2%), 22.9% experienced reductions in LVEF to ≤40% within 6 months. The model predicted reductions in LVEF to ≤40% with area under the receiver operating curve of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81). The gradient weighted class activation map explainability framework highlighted the sinus rhythm QRS complex-ST segment. In patients who underwent successful PVC ablation there was a post-ablation improvement in LVEF with resolution of cardiomyopathy in most (89%) patients.

Conclusions: Deep-learning on the 12-lead ECG alone can accurately predict new-onset cardiomyopathy in patients with PVCs independent of PVC burden. Model prediction performed well across sex and race, relying on the QRS complex/ST-segment in sinus rhythm, not PVC morphology.

Keywords: cardiomyopathy; machine learning; premature ventricular contraction.

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Conflict of interest statement

Funding Support and Author Disclosures Dr Lampert has served as a consultant for Viz.AI. Dr Reddy has served as a consultant for and has equity in Ablacon, Acutus Medical, Affera-Medtronic, Anumana, Apama Medical-Boston Scientific, APN Health, Aquaheart, Atacor, Autonomix, Axon Therapies, Backbeat, BioSig, CardiaCare, CardioNXT/AFTx, Circa Scientific, CoRISMA, Corvia Medical, Dinova-Hangzhou DiNovA EP Technology, East End Medical, EPD-Philips, EP Frontiers, Epix Therapeutics-Medtronic, EpiEP, Eximo, Farapulse-Boston Scientific, Field Medical, Focused Therapeutics, HRT, Intershunt, Javelin, Kardium, Keystone Heart, LuxMed, Medlumics, Middlepeak, Neutrace, Nuvera-Biosense Webster, Oracle Health, Restore Medical, Sirona Medical, SoundCath, Valcare unrelated to this work; has served as a consultant for Abbott, AtriAN, Biosense-Webster, BioTel Heart, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Cairdac, Cardiofocus, Cardionomic, CoreMap, Fire1, Gore & Associates, Impulse Dynamics, Medtronic, Novartis, Philips, and Pulse Biosciences; and has equity in Manual Surgical Sciences, Newpace, Nyra Medical, Surecor, and Vizaramed. Dr Nadkarni reports consultancy agreements with AstraZeneca, BioVie, GLG Consulting, Pensieve Health, Reata, Renalytix, Siemens Healthineers and Variant Bio; has received research funding from Goldfinch Bio, and Renalytix; has received honoraria from AstraZeneca, BioVie, Lexicon, Daiichi Sankyo, Meanrini Health, and Reata; has patents or royalties with Renalytix; owns equity and stock options in Pensieve Health and Renalytix as a scientific cofounder; owns equity in Verici Dx; has received financial compensation as a scientific board member and advisor to Renalytix; has served on the advisory board of Neurona Health; and has served in an advisory or leadership role for Pensieve Health and Renalytix. All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose.

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