Understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of opioid overdose events using a regionalized sequence alignment analysis

Abstract

Background: Opioid overdose events and deaths have become a serious public health crisis in the United States, and understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of the disease occurrences is crucial for developing effective prevention strategies, informing health systems policy and planning, and guiding local responses. However, current research lacks the capability to observe the dynamics of the opioid crisis at a fine spatial-temporal resolution over a long period, leading to ineffective policies and interventions at the local level.

Methods: This paper proposes a novel regionalized sequential alignment analysis using opioid overdose events data to assess the spatiotemporal similarity of opioid overdose evolutionary trajectories within regions that share similar socioeconomic status. The model synthesizes the shape and correlation of space-time trajectories to assist space-time pattern mining in different neighborhoods, identifying trajectories that exhibit similar spatiotemporal characteristics for further analysis.

Results: By adopting this methodology, we can better understand the spatiotemporal evolution of opioid overdose events and identify regions with similar patterns of evolution. This enables policymakers and health researchers to develop effective interventions and policies to address the opioid crisis at the local level.

Conclusions: The proposed methodology provides a new framework for understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of opioid overdose events, enabling policymakers and health researchers to develop effective interventions and policies to address this growing public health crisis.

Keywords: Geographic information science; Neighborhood context; Opioid overdose epidemic; Sequential analysis; Spatiotemporal pattern mining.