Individual Mobility across Clusters: The Impact of Ignoring Cross-Classified Data Structures in Discrete-Time Survival Analysis

Abstract

A multilevel-discrete time survival model may be appropriate for purely hierarchical data, but when data are non-purely hierarchical due to individual mobility across clusters, a cross-classified discrete time survival model may be necessary. The purpose of this research was to investigate the performance of a cross-classified discrete-time survival model and assess the impact of ignoring a cross-classified data structure on the model parameters of a conventional discrete-time survival model and a multilevel discrete-time survival model. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to examine the performance of three discrete-time survival models when individuals are mobile across clusters. Simulation factors included the value of the between-clusters variance, number of clusters, within-cluster sample size, Weibull scale parameter, and mobility rate. The results suggest that substantial relative parameter bias, unacceptable coverage of the 95% confidence intervals, and severely biased standard errors are possible for all model parameters when a discrete-time survival model is used that ignores the cross-classified data structure. The findings presented in this study are useful for methodologists and practitioners in educational research, public health, and other social sciences where discrete-time survival analysis is a common methodological technique for analyzing event-history data.

Keywords: Monte Carlo simulation; Multilevel modeling; cross-classified random effects model; discrete-time survival analysis; mobility.