Treatment intervals and survival for women diagnosed with early breast cancer in Queensland: the Breast Cancer Outcomes Study, a population-based cohort study

Abstract

Objectives: To assess associations between breast cancer-specific survival and timeliness of treatment, based on 2020 Australian guidelines for the treatment of early breast cancer.

Design: Population-based cohort study; analysis of linked Queensland Cancer Register, patient medical record, and National Death Index data, supplemented by telephone interviews.

Setting, participants: Women aged 20-79 years diagnosed with invasive breast cancer during 1 March 2010 - 30 June 2013, followed to 31 December 2020.

Main outcome measures: Breast cancer-specific survival for women who received or did not receive treatment within the recommended timeframe, overall and for six treatment intervals; optimal cut-points for each treatment interval; characteristics of women for whom treatment was not provided within the recommended timeframe.

Results: Of 5426 eligible women, 4762 could be invited for interviews; complete data were available for 3044 women (56% of eligible women, 65% of invited women). Incomplete compliance with guideline interval recommendations was identified for 1375 women (45%); their risk of death from breast cancer during the follow-up period was greater than for those for whom guideline compliance was complete (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.96). Risk of death was greater for women for whom the diagnosis to surgery interval exceeded 29 days (aHR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.19-2.59), the surgery to chemotherapy interval exceeded 36 days (aHR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.13-2.36), or the chemotherapy to radiotherapy interval exceeded 31 days (aHR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.19-2.80). Treatment intervals longer than recommended were more frequent for women for whom breast cancer was detected by public facility screening (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.58; 95% CI, 1.22-2.04) or by symptoms (aOR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.09-1.79) than when cancer had been detected in private facilities, and for women without private health insurance (aOR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.66-2.32) or living outside major cities (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.18-1.62).

Conclusions: Breast cancer-specific survival was poorer for women for whom the diagnosis to surgery, surgery to chemotherapy, or chemotherapy to radiotherapy intervals exceeded guideline-recommended limits. Our findings support 2020 Australian guideline recommendations regarding timely care.

Keywords: Breast neoplasms; Guidelines as topic; Risk factors; Survival analysis; Treatment outcome.