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. 2023 Sep 19;4(9):101194.
doi: 10.1016/j.xcrm.2023.101194.

A blood-based metabolomic signature predictive of risk for pancreatic cancer

Affiliations

A blood-based metabolomic signature predictive of risk for pancreatic cancer

Ehsan Irajizad et al. Cell Rep Med. .

Abstract

Emerging evidence implicates microbiome involvement in the development of pancreatic cancer (PaCa). Here, we investigate whether increases in circulating microbial-related metabolites associate with PaCa risk by applying metabolomics profiling to 172 sera collected within 5 years prior to PaCa diagnosis and 863 matched non-subject sera from participants in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) cohort. We develop a three-marker microbial-related metabolite panel to assess 5-year risk of PaCa. The addition of five non-microbial metabolites further improves 5-year risk prediction of PaCa. The combined metabolite panel complements CA19-9, and individuals with a combined metabolite panel + CA19-9 score in the top 2.5th percentile have absolute 5-year risk estimates of >13%. The risk prediction model based on circulating microbial and non-microbial metabolites provides a potential tool to identify individuals at high risk of PaCa that would benefit from surveillance and/or from potential cancer interception strategies.

Keywords: biomarker; metabolites; microbiome; pancreatic cancer; risk assessment.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of interests An invention disclosure report related to findings reported herein has been submitted to the University of Texas. B.M.W. receives research funding from Celgene and Eli Lilly and does consulting for BioLineRx, Celgene, and GRAIL.

Figures

None
Graphical abstract
Figure 1
Figure 1
Relationship between TMAO and indoleacrylic acid and microbial species (A) Association between TMAO and indoleacrlyic acid with different microbial species. Data were derived from the Metabolomics Data Explorer database (see STAR methods). Data were derived from N = 2–8 biological replicates. (B) Association between referenced microbial species and pancreatic cancer.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Area under the reciever operating characteristic curves for 5-year risk prediction of pancreatic cancer in the PLCO cohort Predictive performance estimates for the metabolite (microbial + non-microbial) panel, CA19-9, and the metabolite panel + CA19-9 for 5-year risk prediction of pancreatic cancer in the PLCO set-aside test set (A) and the entire PLCO specimen set (B).
Figure 3
Figure 3
Absolute 5-year risk estimates for individuals with CA19-9 + 3-marker microbial panel + 5-marker non-microbial panel scores Vertical lines represent 20th, 40th, 60th, and 80th percentile values. Table on the bottom provides absolute 5-year risk estimates for individuals with CA19-9, combined metabolite panel (3-marker microbial metabolite panel + 5-marker non-microbial metabolite panel), and the combined metabolite panel + CA19-9 scores.

Comment in

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