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. 2023 Oct;622(7982):308-314.
doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06578-4. Epub 2023 Oct 4.

Ongoing declines for the world's amphibians in the face of emerging threats

Jennifer A Luedtke  1   2 Janice Chanson  3   4 Kelsey Neam  3   4 Louise Hobin  4 Adriano O Maciel  5 Alessandro Catenazzi  6   7 Amaël Borzée  4   8 Amir Hamidy  9 Anchalee Aowphol  10 Anderson Jean  11   12 Ángel Sosa-Bartuano  13 Ansel Fong G  14 Anslem de Silva  15 Antoine Fouquet  16 Ariadne Angulo  4 Artem A Kidov  17 Arturo Muñoz Saravia  18   19 Arvin C Diesmos  20   21 Atsushi Tominaga  22   23 Biraj Shrestha  24   25 Brian Gratwicke  26 Burhan Tjaturadi  27 Carlos C Martínez Rivera  28   29 Carlos R Vásquez Almazán  30   31 Celsa Señaris  32 S R Chandramouli  33 Christine Strüssmann  34 Claudia Fabiola Cortez Fernández  18   35 Claudio Azat  36 Conrad J Hoskin  37 Craig Hilton-Taylor  38 Damion L Whyte  39 David J Gower  40 Deanna H Olson  41 Diego F Cisneros-Heredia  42   43 Diego José Santana  44 Elizah Nagombi  45 Elnaz Najafi-Majd  46 Evan S H Quah  47   48 Federico Bolaños  49   50 Feng Xie  51 Francisco Brusquetti  52 Francisco S Álvarez  53 Franco Andreone  54 Frank Glaw  55 Franklin Enrique Castañeda  56 Fred Kraus  57 Gabriela Parra-Olea  58 Gerardo Chaves  50 Guido F Medina-Rangel  59 Gustavo González-Durán  60 H Mauricio Ortega-Andrade  61   62 Iberê F Machado  63 Indraneil Das  64 Iuri Ribeiro Dias  65 J Nicolas Urbina-Cardona  66 Jelka Crnobrnja-Isailović  67 Jian-Huan Yang  68 Jiang Jianping  51 Jigme Tshelthrim Wangyal  69   70 Jodi J L Rowley  71   72 John Measey  73   74 Karthikeyan Vasudevan  75 Kin Onn Chan  48 Kotambylu Vasudeva Gururaja  76 Kristiina Ovaska  77   78 Lauren C Warr  79 Luis Canseco-Márquez  80 Luís Felipe Toledo  81 Luis M Díaz  82 M Monirul H Khan  83 Madhava Meegaskumbura  84 Manuel E Acevedo  85 Marcelo Felgueiras Napoli  86 Marcos A Ponce  87 Marcos Vaira  88 Margarita Lampo  89   90 Mario H Yánez-Muñoz  91 Mark D Scherz  92 Mark-Oliver Rödel  93 Masafumi Matsui  94 Maxon Fildor  11 Mirza D Kusrini  95 Mohammad Firoz Ahmed  96 Muhammad Rais  97 N'Goran G Kouamé  98 Nieves García  99 Nono Legrand Gonwouo  100 Patricia A Burrowes  101 Paul Y Imbun  102 Philipp Wagner  103   104 Philippe J R Kok  105   106 Rafael L Joglar  107   108 Renoir J Auguste  109 Reuber Albuquerque Brandão  110 Roberto Ibáñez  111 Rudolf von May  112 S Blair Hedges  113 S D Biju  114 S R Ganesh  115 Sally Wren  4   116 Sandeep Das  117   118 Sandra V Flechas  119 Sara L Ashpole  120   121 Silvia J Robleto-Hernández  122 Simon P Loader  40 Sixto J Incháustegui  123 Sonali Garg  114   124 Somphouthone Phimmachak  125 Stephen J Richards  126 Tahar Slimani  127 Tamara Osborne-Naikatini  128 Tatianne P F Abreu-Jardim  63 Thais H Condez  129 Thiago R De Carvalho  130 Timothy P Cutajar  71   72 Todd W Pierson  131 Truong Q Nguyen  132 Uğur Kaya  46 Zhiyong Yuan  133 Barney Long  3 Penny Langhammer  3   134 Simon N Stuart  99   135   136
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Ongoing declines for the world's amphibians in the face of emerging threats

Jennifer A Luedtke et al. Nature. 2023 Oct.

Erratum in

  • Author Correction: Ongoing declines for the world's amphibians in the face of emerging threats.
    Luedtke JA, Chanson J, Neam K, Hobin L, Maciel AO, Catenazzi A, Borzée A, Hamidy A, Aowphol A, Jean A, Sosa-Bartuano Á, Fong G A, de Silva A, Fouquet A, Angulo A, Kidov AA, Muñoz Saravia A, Diesmos AC, Tominaga A, Shrestha B, Gratwicke B, Tjaturadi B, Martínez Rivera CC, Vásquez Almazán CR, Señaris C, Chandramouli SR, Strüssmann C, Cortez Fernández CF, Azat C, Hoskin CJ, Hilton-Taylor C, Whyte DL, Gower DJ, Olson DH, Cisneros-Heredia DF, Santana DJ, Nagombi E, Najafi-Majd E, Quah ESH, Bolaños F, Xie F, Brusquetti F, Álvarez FS, Andreone F, Glaw F, Castañeda FE, Kraus F, Parra-Olea G, Chaves G, Medina-Rangel GF, González-Durán G, Ortega-Andrade HM, Machado IF, Das I, Dias IR, Urbina-Cardona JN, Crnobrnja-Isailović J, Yang JH, Jianping J, Wangyal JT, Rowley JJL, Measey J, Vasudevan K, Chan KO, Gururaja KV, Ovaska K, Warr LC, Canseco-Márquez L, Toledo LF, Díaz LM, Khan MMH, Meegaskumbura M, Acevedo ME, Napoli MF, Ponce MA, Vaira M, Lampo M, Yánez-Muñoz MH, Scherz MD, Rödel MO, Matsui M, Fildor M, Kusrini MD, Ahmed MF, Rais M, Kouamé NG, García N, Gonwouo NL, Burrowes PA, Imbun PY, Wagner P, Kok PJR, Joglar RL, Auguste RJ, Brandão RA, Ibáñez R, von May R, Hedges SB, Biju SD, Ganesh SR… See abstract for full author list ➔ Luedtke JA, et al. Nature. 2024 Jan;625(7993):E2. doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06851-6. Nature. 2024. PMID: 38040869 Free PMC article. No abstract available.

Abstract

Systematic assessments of species extinction risk at regular intervals are necessary for informing conservation action1,2. Ongoing developments in taxonomy, threatening processes and research further underscore the need for reassessment3,4. Here we report the findings of the second Global Amphibian Assessment, evaluating 8,011 species for the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List of Threatened Species. We find that amphibians are the most threatened vertebrate class (40.7% of species are globally threatened). The updated Red List Index shows that the status of amphibians is deteriorating globally, particularly for salamanders and in the Neotropics. Disease and habitat loss drove 91% of status deteriorations between 1980 and 2004. Ongoing and projected climate change effects are now of increasing concern, driving 39% of status deteriorations since 2004, followed by habitat loss (37%). Although signs of species recoveries incentivize immediate conservation action, scaled-up investment is urgently needed to reverse the current trends.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1. The distribution of 2,873 globally threatened amphibian species.
The darker colours correspond to higher species richness. The colour scale is based on 10 quantile classes. Maximum richness equals 61 species. The cell area is 865 km2. One species was excluded because no spatial data were available.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2. The types of threats affecting amphibian species in threatened categories.
The threats to a species were coded using the threat-classification scheme and grouped for ease of comparison (see the ‘Classification schemes’ and ‘Threats to threatened species’ sections of the Methods). All threats shaded in green are causing habitat loss and degradation. The grey sections denote the number of species for which the threat timing is in the future rather than ongoing. Note that most species are experiencing multiple threats. Source data
Fig. 3
Fig. 3. RLIs showing trends in overall extinction risk.
a, The RLIs of all comprehensively assessed taxonomic groups on the IUCN Red List. b, The amphibian RLI disaggregated by biogeographical realm. c, The amphibian RLI disaggregated by breeding strategy. d, The amphibian RLI disaggregated by order. Source data
Fig. 4
Fig. 4. Geographical pattern of the primary drivers of deteriorating status among amphibians.
a,b, The primary drivers of deteriorating status among amphibians during 1980–2004 (482 species; a) and 2004–2022 (306 species; b). Cell colour was determined by the primary driver impacting the most species. Where two primary drivers equally contribute to a cell, an intermediate colour is shown. The stars indicate where the primary driver is undetermined or there are numerous primary drivers. The cell area is 7,775 km2.
Fig. 5
Fig. 5. Species moved into a higher Red List category coded by the primary driver causing the change.
a,b, The number of species moved into a higher Red List category, coded by the primary driver causing the change, during 1980–2004 (a) and 2004–2022 (b). Red List categories are ordered by highest to lowest threat level: Extinct (EX), Extinct in the Wild (EW), Critically Endangered (CR), Endangered (EN), Vulnerable (VU) and Near Threatened (NT). CR species that are likely to be extinct have the Possibly Extinct (PE) tag. Source data
Extended Data Fig. 1
Extended Data Fig. 1. Geographical pattern of 120 amphibians that improved in status between 1980–2022.
Outlined hexagons indicate at least one species improved due to conservation.

References

    1. The IUCN Red List 2021–2030 Strategic Plan: Preventing Extinction and Advancing the Recovery of Species Using The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species (IUCN, 2021); https://nc.iucnredlist.org/redlist/resources/files/1630480299-IUCN_Red_L....
    1. Rodrigues ASL, et al. The value of the IUCN Red List for conservation. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2006;21:71–76. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2005.10.010. - DOI - PubMed
    1. Mallon DP, Jackson RM. A downlist is not a demotion: Red List status and reality. Oryx. 2017;51:605–609. doi: 10.1017/S0030605317000606. - DOI
    1. Reasons for Changing Category (IUCN, 2023); https://www.iucnredlist.org/assessment/reasons-changing-category.
    1. Butchart SHM, et al. Improvements to the Red List Index. PLoS ONE. 2007;2:e140. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0000140. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

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