Propensity-score matched analysis of patent foramen ovale closure in real-world study cohort with cryptogenic ischemic stroke

Abstract

Introduction: Patent foramen ovale (PFO) occurs in 25% of the general population and in 40% of cryptogenic ischemic stroke patients. Recent trials support PFO closure in selected patients with cryptogenic stroke. We examined the outcomes of transcatheter PFO closure in a real-world study cohort with cryptogenic stroke.

Methods: Consecutive ischemic stroke patients who were classified as cryptogenic on the TOAST aetiology and diagnosed with a PFO were included. All patients underwent either transcatheter PFO closure or medical therapy. A 2:1 propensity score matching by sex and Risk-of-Paradoxical-Embolism (RoPE) score was performed. Multivariable regression models adjusted for sex and RoPE score.

Results: Our cohort comprised 232 patients with mean age 44.3 years (SD 10.8) and median follow-up 1486.5 days. 33.2% were female. PFO closure (n=84) and medical therapy (n=148) groups were well-matched with <10% mean-difference in sex and RoPE score. Two patients in the treated group (2.4%) and seven in the control group (4.7%) had a recurrent ischemic stroke event. Multivariable Cox regression demonstrated a hazard-ratio of 0.26 (95%CI 0.03-2.13, P=0.21) for PFO closure compared to control. The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) detected post-PFO closure was similar between the treated and control (1.19% vs 1.35%, multivariable logistic regression odds-ratio 0.90, 95%CI 0.04-9.81, P=0.94). There were no major periprocedural complications documented. The difference in restricted mean survival-time free from stroke at two years between treated and control was 26.2 days (95%CI 5.52-46.85, P=0.013).

Conclusions: In this Asian cohort, we report a low incidence of ischemic stroke recurrence and new-onset AF in patients who underwent PFO closure. When compared to the medical therapy group, there was no significant difference in the incidence of stroke recurrence and new-onset AF. Further studies involving larger real-world cohorts are warranted to identify patients who are more likely to benefit from PFO closure.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Cerebrovascular; Cryptogenic ischemic stroke; Patent foramen ovale; Propensity score.