Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality in Spain between 1999 and 2019

Abstract

Introduction: Mortality from COPD has decreased in Spain in recent years, but it is unknown whether this decline has been homogeneous among the different regions.

Methods: From the Statistical Portal of the Ministry of Health of Spain we obtained the age-adjusted mortality rates/100,000 inhabitants for men and women in Spain and the Autonomous Communities for the years 1999-2019, using the coding of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD 10, sections J40-J44). With the adjusted rates we performed a jointpoint regression analysis to estimate an annual percentage change (APC), as well as identify possible points of trend change. Statistical significance was considered for a value of p<0.05.

Results: During the study period, COPD mortality rates adjusted in Spain decreased from 28.77 deaths/100,000 inhabitants in 1999 to 12.14 deaths/100,000 inhabitants in 2019. We observed a linear decline in COPD mortality in men at national level of -3.67% per year (95% CI -4.1 to -3.4; p<0.001), with differences between the Autonomous Communities. Mortality in women also experienced a decrease in mortality in two phases, with a first period from 1999 to 2006 with a fall of -6.8% per year (95% CI -8.6 to -5.0; p<0.001) and a second period from 2006 to 2019 with a decrease in mortality of -2.1% (95% CI -2.8 to -1.3; p<0.001), with again differences between the Autonomous Communities.

Conclusion: Mortality rates from COPD have decreased heterogeneously among the different Autonomous Communities in both men and women.

Keywords: COPD; EPOC; Jointpoint regression; Mortality rates; Regresión de jointpoint; Tasas de mortalidad; Tendencias; Trends.