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. 2023 Oct 10;8(10):471.
doi: 10.3390/tropicalmed8100471.

Potential Global Distribution of the Invasive Mosquito Aedes koreicus under a Changing Climate

Qing Liu  1 , Jing-Wen Xie  1   2 , Ming Wang  1 , Yu-Tong Du  1 , Zi-Ge Yin  1 , Ning-Xin Zhou  1 , Tong-Yan Zhao  1 , En-Jiong Huang  2   3 , Heng-Duan Zhang  1
Affiliations

Potential Global Distribution of the Invasive Mosquito Aedes koreicus under a Changing Climate

Qing Liu et al. Trop Med Infect Dis. .

Abstract

Invasive alien species are a growing threat to natural systems, the economy, and human health. Active surveillance and responses that readily suppress newly established colonies are effective actions to mitigate the noxious consequences of biological invasions. Aedes (Hulecoeteomyia) koreicus (Edwards), a mosquito species native to East Asia, has spread to parts of Europe and Central Asia since 2008. In the last decade, Ae. koreicus has been shown to be a competent vector for chikungunya virus and Dirofilaria immitis. However, information about the current and potential distribution of Ae. koreicus is limited. Therefore, to understand the changes in their global distribution and to contribute to the monitoring and control of Ae. koreicus, in this study, the MaxEnt model was used to predict and analyze the current suitable distribution area of Ae. koreicus in the world to provide effective information.

Keywords: Aedes koreicus; MaxEnt; invasive mosquito; potential distribution.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Global predicted suitable areas under the current climatic conditions for Ae. koreicus.
Figure 2
Figure 2
The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Global predicted suitable areas the SSP1-2.6 climate scenario for Ae. koreicus: (a) 2021–2040 and (b) 2041–2060.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Jackknife test of environmental variable importance for the MaxEnt model.
Figure 5
Figure 5
Response curve of Bio1 in the potential distribution model of Ae. koreicus.
Figure 6
Figure 6
Response curve of Bio3 in the potential distribution model of Ae. koreicus.
Figure 7
Figure 7
Response curve of Bio6 in the potential distribution model of Ae. koreicus.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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