Multiparametric MRI-based fusion radiomics for predicting telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutations and progression-free survival in glioblastoma: a multicentre study

Abstract

Purpose: This study evaluated the performance of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based fusion radiomics models (MMFRs) to predict telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutation status and progression-free survival (PFS) in glioblastoma patients.

Methods: We retrospectively analysed 208 glioblastoma patients from two hospitals. Quantitative imaging features were extracted from each patient's T1-weighted, T1-weighted contrast-enhanced, and T2-weighted preoperative images. Using a coarse-to-fine feature selection strategy, four radiomics signature models were constructed based on the three MRI sequences and their combination for TERT promoter mutation status and PFS; model performance was subsequently evaluated. Subgroup analyses were performed by the radiomics signature of TERT promoter mutation status and PFS to distinguish patients who could benefit from prolonged temozolomide chemotherapy cycles.

Results: TERT promoter mutation status was best predicted by MMFR, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.816 and 0.812 for the training and internal validation sets, respectively. The external test set also achieved stable and optimal prediction results (AUC, 0.823). MMFR better predicted patient PFS compared with the single-sequence radiomics signature in the test set (C-index, 0.643 vs 0.561 vs 0.620 vs 0.628). Subgroup analyses showed that more than six cycles of postoperative temozolomide chemotherapy were associated with improved PFS for patients in class 2 (high TERT promoter mutation and high survival rates; HR, 0.222; 95% CI, 0.054 - 0.923; p = 0.025).

Conclusion: MMFR is an effective method to predict TERT promoter mutations and PFS in patients with glioblastoma. Moreover, subgroup analysis could differentiate patients who may benefit from prolonged TMZ chemotherapy cycles.

Keywords: Glioblastoma; Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging; Progression-free survival; Radiomics; Telomerase reverse transcriptase.