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. 2024 Apr;28(4):284-285.
doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2023.11.003. Epub 2023 Nov 28.

Intermediate science knowledge predicts overconfidence

Carmen Sanchez  1 , David Dunning  2
Affiliations

Intermediate science knowledge predicts overconfidence

Carmen Sanchez et al. Trends Cogn Sci. 2024 Apr.

Abstract

Lackner et al. found science overconfidence peaks at intermediate levels of knowledge. Those with intermediate knowledge also hold the most negative attitudes toward scientists. In doing so, they provide a novel measure of overconfidence that measures the tendency to give incorrect answers as opposed to answering, 'I don't know'.

Keywords: Dunning–Kruger effect; beginner’s bubble; overconfidence; scientists.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of interests None to declare.

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