Tracking the behavior of an accidental oil spill and its impacts on the marine environment in the Eastern Mediterranean

Abstract

The eastern Mediterranean region is a vital hub for oil transportation and production because of its strategic location between Europe, Asia, and Africa. But its unique attributes, including narrow shipping routes, heavy marine traffic, and proximity to vulnerable ecosystems, render it particularly susceptible to accidental oil spills. In this research, an oil spill detection model, along with bathymetric and oceanographic parameters, was used to track oil spills that occurred at the Syrian Baniyas Station in the Eastern Mediterranean on August 23, 2021. Furthermore, the study employed a pairwise comparison matrix (PWCM) to assess the relative importance of wind speed and direction, water depth, and sea surface temperature (SST) in the dispersion of oil spills. Analysis of Sentinel-1 data obtained prior to, during, and after the incident revealed the accumulation of oil slicks along the Syrian coast from Baniyas to Latakia for up to twenty days. The spilled oil reached the coast of Cyprus six days after the incident. The study determined that wind speed and direction played a critical role in the dispersion of spilled oil, while water depth and SST were comparatively less significant factors in this process. The overall accuracy (OA) and Kappa coefficient (KC) for land, water, and oil slick classes derived from the random forest (RF) algorithm ranged from 90 % to 98 % and from 0.86 to 0.98, respectively. The spread of oil slicks at the incident location was revealed by the decorrelation stretch and band ratios of Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) data. The accidental oil spill could have negative effects on the organic carbon cycle, chlorophyll production, and ecosystem productivity. It is essential to consider the vulnerability of specific regions in the Eastern Mediterranean to oil spills when developing adaptation strategies.

Keywords: Eastern Mediterranean; Oceanographic parameters; Oil spills; Random forest; SAR data.