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. 2023 Dec 7;186(25):5472-5485.e9.
doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2023.10.018.

A genetic history of the Balkans from Roman frontier to Slavic migrations

Iñigo Olalde  1 Pablo Carrión  2 Ilija Mikić  3 Nadin Rohland  4 Swapan Mallick  5 Iosif Lazaridis  6 Matthew Mah  7 Miomir Korać  3 Snežana Golubović  3 Sofija Petković  3 Nataša Miladinović-Radmilović  3 Dragana Vulović  3 Timka Alihodžić  8 Abigail Ash  9 Miriam Baeta  10 Juraj Bartík  11 Željka Bedić  12 Maja Bilić  13 Clive Bonsall  14 Maja Bunčić  15 Domagoj Bužanić  16 Mario Carić  12 Lea Čataj  17 Mirna Cvetko  16 Ivan Drnić  15 Anita Dugonjić  15 Ana Đukić  15 Ksenija Đukić  18 Zdeněk Farkaš  11 Pavol Jelínek  11 Marija Jovanovic  19 Iva Kaić  16 Hrvoje Kalafatić  20 Marijana Krmpotić  21 Siniša Krznar  20 Tino Leleković  22 Marian M de Pancorbo  10 Vinka Matijević  16 Branka Milošević Zakić  23 Anna J Osterholtz  24 Julianne M Paige  25 Dinko Tresić Pavičić  26 Zrinka Premužić  27 Petra Rajić Šikanjić  12 Anita Rapan Papeša  28 Lujana Paraman  29 Mirjana Sanader  16 Ivana Radovanović  30 Mirjana Roksandic  31 Alena Šefčáková  32 Sofia Stefanović  33 Maria Teschler-Nicola  34 Domagoj Tončinić  16 Brina Zagorc  35 Kim Callan  5 Francesca Candilio  36 Olivia Cheronet  35 Daniel Fernandes  37 Aisling Kearns  4 Ann Marie Lawson  5 Kirsten Mandl  35 Anna Wagner  35 Fatma Zalzala  5 Anna Zettl  35 Željko Tomanović  38 Dušan Keckarević  39 Mario Novak  12 Kyle Harper  40 Michael McCormick  41 Ron Pinhasi  42 Miodrag Grbić  43 Carles Lalueza-Fox  44 David Reich  45
Affiliations

A genetic history of the Balkans from Roman frontier to Slavic migrations

Iñigo Olalde et al. Cell. .

Abstract

The rise and fall of the Roman Empire was a socio-political process with enormous ramifications for human history. The Middle Danube was a crucial frontier and a crossroads for population and cultural movement. Here, we present genome-wide data from 136 Balkan individuals dated to the 1st millennium CE. Despite extensive militarization and cultural influence, we find little ancestry contribution from peoples of Italic descent. However, we trace a large-scale influx of people of Anatolian ancestry during the Imperial period. Between ∼250 and 550 CE, we detect migrants with ancestry from Central/Northern Europe and the Steppe, confirming that "barbarian" migrations were propelled by ethnically diverse confederations. Following the end of Roman control, we detect the large-scale arrival of individuals who were genetically similar to modern Eastern European Slavic-speaking populations, who contributed 30%-60% of the ancestry of Balkan people, representing one of the largest permanent demographic changes anywhere in Europe during the Migration Period.

Keywords: Balkan Peninsula; Great Migration Period; Slavic migrations; ancient DNA; archaeogenetics; cosmopolitanism; demographic changes; population dynamics; the Roman Empire.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of interests The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.. Overview of ancient Balkan individuals analyzed in this study.
(A) Chronological distribution. Individuals with newly reported data are represented by symbols with a black outline. (B) Geographical location of archaeological sites. (C) PCA of the West-Eurasian genetic variability showing present-day individuals as grey circles (except present-day Balkan populations that are displayed with open colored triangles), and relevant ancient populations as colored polygons (Balkan Iron Age groups in blue, Southern European Iron Age groups in light blue, ancient Near Easter groups in red and ancient Steppe, Central, Northern and Eastern European groups in green) including all individuals in each population (Data S2, Table 3). Ancient individuals were projected onto the PCs computed on present-day West Eurasians; their shape and color are the same as in panels (A) and (B). This PCA is a zoom-in version of Figure S1. (D) Closer view of the present-day Balkans genetic cline from panel (C). CNE: Central/Northern European; CEE: Central/Eastern European; BA: Bronze Age; IA: Iron Age.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.. A diversity of ancestral origins.
(A) By-individual estimates of Iron Age Balkan, West Anatolian/Levantine, and African-related ancestry proportions between 0-1500 CE, computed with qpAdm. Two pairs of individuals buried in the same sarcophagi at Rit Necropolis (Viminacium) are connected through black lines. (B) δ15N and δ13C stable isotope values (Data S2, Table 9) of ancient Balkan individuals between 0-500 CE obtained from tooth roots, plotted alongside published environmental data and humans from related geographic and chronological contexts,-. Individuals buried at the same necropolis are connected through lines. (C) Oil lamp depicting an eagle found on individual G-103’s (I15499) grave at Pirivoj, Viminacium. (D) Sarcophagus of grave 148 at Rit Necropolis, Viminacium.
Figure 3.
Figure 3.. Arrival of ancestry related to Eastern European populations after 700 CE.
(A) PCA computed on present-day Central, Northern and Eastern Europeans. Present-day Balkan individuals and ancient individuals were projected onto the PCs. Ancient Balkan individuals are shown as red and blue diamonds and other relevant ancient populations are shown as colored polygons including all individuals in each population. (B) f4-statistics assessing differential affinities to Central/Northern- and Eastern European-related groups. Central/Northern European-related includes individuals from two Langobard-associated cemeteries in Hungary and Northern Italy displaying Central/Northern European-related ancestry (CNE_EarlyMedieval) and Bronze and Iron Age individuals from the Netherlands (Data S2, Table 3). Eastern European-related includes CEE_EarlyMedieval and Bronze Age individuals from Latvia and Lithuania. Test populations are shown in the y-axis. Error bars represent one standard error.
Figure 4.
Figure 4.. Demographic impact of Migration Period and Early Medieval events.
(A) Changes in Central/Northern European, Pontic-Kazakh Steppe and Eastern European-related ancestry proportions between 0-1500 CE, computed with qpAdm. A mother and her son are connected through a red line. (B) Proportions of Eastern-European-related ancestry (in black) for present-day Balkan and Aegean populations.

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