Incidence and risk factors for subsequent infections among rectal carriers with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background: Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKp) is a major pathogen causing nosocomial infections with a high mortality and poor prognosis. Gastrointestinal carriage has been acknowledged as the primary reservoir of CRKp infections.

Aim: To explore the incidence and risk factors associated with CRKp infection following colonization.

Methods: The PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant articles published between December 1998 and June 2023. Pooled estimates with a 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for the incidence rate, whereas pooled odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for the risk factors for which the OR was reported in three or more studies.

Findings: Fourteen studies were included in the review with 5483 patients for the assessment of incidence, whereas seven of these studies with 2170 patients were included for the analysis of risk factors. In the meta-analysis, the incidence of CRKp infections after colonization was 23.2% (17.9-28.5). Additionally, three independent risk factors for subsequent CRKp infections were identified as admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) (2.59; 95% CI: 1.64-4.11), invasive procedures (2.53; 95% CI: 1.59-4.03), and multi-site colonization (6.24; 95% CI: 2.38-16.33).

Conclusion: This review reveals the incidence of CRKp infections in rectal carriers in different countries, emphasizing the role of rectal colonization with CRKp as an important source of nosocomial infections. Significantly, the risk factors indicated in this review can assist clinicians in identifying CRKp carriers with an elevated risk of subsequent infections, thereby enabling further measures to be taken to prevent nosocomial infections.

Keywords: Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae; Colonization; Infection; Intensive care units; Risk factors.