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. 1987 Mar;326(6109):137-42.
doi: 10.1038/326137a0.

Transmission dynamics of HIV infection

R M May, R M Anderson

Transmission dynamics of HIV infection

R M May et al. Nature. 1987 Mar.

Abstract

Simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of human immunodeficiency virus help to clarify some of the essential relations between epidemiological factors, such as distributed incubation periods and heterogeneity in sexual activity, and the overall pattern of the AIDS epidemic. They also help to identify what kinds of epidemiological data are needed to make predictions of future trends.

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