Multifactorial risk factors for hospital readmissions among patients with symptoms of advanced heart failure

Abstract

Aims: Economic burden of heart failure is attributed to hospital readmissions. Previous studies assessing risk factors for readmissions have focused on single group of risk factors, were limited to 30-day readmissions, or did not account for competing risk of mortality. This study investigates the biological, socio-economic, and behavioural risk factors predicting hospital readmissions while accounting for the competing risk of mortality.

Methods and results: In this prospective cohort study, we recruited 250 patients hospitalized with symptoms of advanced heart failure [New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III and IV] between July 2017 and April 2019. We analysed their baseline survey data and their hospitalization records over the next 4.5 years (July 2017 to January 2022). We used a joint-frailty model to determine the multifactorial risk factors for all-cause and unplanned hospital readmissions and mortality. At the time of recruitment, patients' mean (SD) age was 66 (12) years, majority being male (72%) and NYHA class IV (68%) with reduced ejection fraction (72%). 87% of the patients had poor self-care behaviours, 51% had diabetes and 56% had weak grip strength. Within 2 years of a hospital admission, 74% of the patients had at least one readmission. Among all readmissions during follow-up, 68% were unplanned. Results from the multivariable regression analysis shows that the independent risk factors for hospital readmissions were biologic-weak grip strength [hazard ratio (95% CI): 1.59 (1.06, 2.13)], poor functional status [1.79 (0.98, 2.61)], diabetes [1.42 (0.97, 1.86)]; behavioural-poor self-care [1.66 (0.84, 2.49)], and socio-economic-preference for maximal life extension at high cost for those with high education [1.98 (1.17, 2.80)]. Risk factors for unplanned hospital readmissions were similar. A higher hospital readmission rate increased the risk of mortality [1.86 (1.23, 2.50)]. Other risk factors for mortality were biologic-weak grip strength [3.65 (0.57, 6.73)], diabetes [2.52 (0.62, 4.42)], socio-economic-lower education [2.45 (0.37, 4.53)], and being married [2.53 (0.37, 4.69)]. Having a private health insurance [0.40 (0.08, 0.73)] lowered the risk for mortality.

Conclusions: Risk factors for hospital readmissions and mortality are multifactorial. Many of these factors, such as weak grip strength, diabetes, poor self-care behaviours, are potentially modifiable and should be routinely assessed and managed in cardiac clinics and hospital admissions.

Keywords: Functional status; Heart failure; Hospital readmissions; Self‐care; Weak grip strength.

Figure 1

No. of hospital readmissions per person, n = 250.