Study on the predictive value of pretreatment peripheral blood inflammatory markers regarding immunotherapy in patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Abstract

Objective: To explore the effects of pretreatment peripheral blood panimmune-inflammation value (PIV), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) on the efficacy and prognostic value of immunotherapy in patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods: Clinical data of 107 inoperable advanced or locally advanced ESCC patients were retrospectively analysed between May 2019 and August 2023, the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) of PIV, SII, NLR, and PLR in patients prior to immunotherapy were plotted, and their optimal cutoff values were determined. The risk factors were determined by univariate and multivariate analyses in groups based on the optimal cut-off values.

Results: Peripheral blood PIV, SII and PLR before immunotherapy had predictive value for the optimal efficacy of immunotherapy in patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced ESCC; patients with PIV ≥415.885, SII ≥834.295 and NLR ≥3.740 had a low objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), a short progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) after immunotherapy (p < 0.05). Patient tumour stage, distant lymph node metastasis, lung metastasis, liver metastasis, PIV, SII, and NLR were risk factors affecting PFS and OS (p < 0.05). Tumour stage and SII were independent risk factors affecting PFS and OS (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: In patients with inoperable advanced or locally advanced ESCC, peripheral blood PIV, SII, and NLR have predictive value for immunotherapy outcome, SII is an independent risk factor affecting the survival prognosis, and SII ≥834.295 suggests a poor prognosis from immunotherapy.

Keywords: Oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC); immunotherapy; peripheral blood inflammatory markers; prognosis.