Prognostic factors of renal cell cancer in elderly patients: a population-based cohort study

Abstract

Mortality in renal cell cancer (RCC) is high in the elderly population. Comorbidities have a greater impact on overall prognosis of RCC among elderly patients than in younger patients. All new RCC cases were collected in people over 74 years of age between 1995 and 2018 from the Finnish cancer registry. The comorbidities were identified from the Care Registry for Healthcare. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was used to evaluate the risk of death based on comorbidities. The overall risk of death was analyzed using the Cox regression model. The risk for RCC death was analyzed using Fine and Gray regression analysis. Individual prognostic role of CCI components was evaluated by adding each component separately into the multivariable Fine and Gray regression model. Using the most prognostic comorbidities we constructed a nomogram to predict RCC mortality. Statistically significant prognostic factors of RCC death were tumor morphology (clear cell, papillary and chromophobe), sex, operative treatment, age, primary tumor extent and CCI. The strongest prognostic factors for overall mortality were tumor extent, tumor morphology and operative treatment. Among the components of CCI, the most important comorbidities predicting mortality were dementia, heart failure and kidney disease. The limitation of this study is that the comorbidities have only been recorded at inpatient and outpatient hospital contacts, which is why the prevalence of comorbidities is probably underestimated. In addition, physical performance status was not available from registry data, but it significantly affects the treatment decisions. RCC mortality is high in the elderly population. Among comorbidities, dementia and heart failure have the greatest impact on the prognosis. Curative treatment in selected elderly patients is efficient and should be considered in patients who can tolerate it and have only limited comorbidities.

Figure 1

Formation of study cohort.

Figure 2

Overall survival among elderly Finnish renal cancer patients by age-group. Blue dashed line 75–79 year, yellow dashed line 80–89 year, green dashed line 90–99 year, red dashed line ≥ 100 year.

Figure 3

A nomogram to predict the risk of renal cancer death among elderly renal cancer patients, including age, sex and the most prognostic comorbidities.