Multiparametric MRI-Based Interpretable Radiomics Machine Learning Model Differentiates Medulloblastoma and Ependymoma in Children: A Two-Center Study

Abstract

Rationale and objectives: Medulloblastoma (MB) and Ependymoma (EM) in children, share similarities in age group, tumor location, and clinical presentation. Distinguishing between them through clinical diagnosis is challenging. This study aims to explore the effectiveness of using radiomics and machine learning on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to differentiate between MB and EM and validate its diagnostic ability with an external set.

Materials and methods: Axial T2 weighted image (T2WI) and contrast-enhanced T1weighted image (CE-T1WI) MRI sequences of 135 patients from two centers were collected as train/test sets. Volume of interest (VOI) was manually delineated by an experienced neuroradiologist, supervised by a senior. Feature selection analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm identified valuable features, and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) evaluated their significance. Five machine-learning classifiers-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Bernoulli naive Bayes (Bernoulli NB), Logistic Regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), linear support vector machine (Linear SVC) classifiers were built based on T2WI (T2 model), CE-T1WI (T1 model), and T1 + T2WI (T1 + T2 model). A human expert diagnosis was developed and corrected by senior radiologists. External validation was performed at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center.

Results: 31 valuable features were extracted from T2WI and CE-T1WI. XGBoost demonstrated the highest performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 on the test set and maintained an AUC of 0.80 during external validation. For the T1 model, XGBoost achieved the highest AUC of 0.85 on the test set and the highest accuracy of 0.71 on the external validation set. In the T2 model, XGBoost achieved the highest AUC of 0.86 on the test set and the highest accuracy of 0.82 on the external validation set. The human expert diagnosis had an AUC of 0.66 on the test set and 0.69 on the external validation set. The integrated T1 + T2 model achieved an AUC of 0.92 on the test set, 0.80 on the external validation set, achieved the best performance. Overall, XGBoost consistently outperformed in different classification models.

Conclusion: The combination of radiomics and machine learning on multiparametric MRI effectively distinguishes between MB and EM in childhood, surpassing human expert diagnosis in training and testing sets.

Keywords: Ependymoma; Machine learning; Medulloblastoma; Radiomics; SHAP.